1. Presence/absent of species in grid-cells across the landscape explained by:
a suite of environmental variables (23)
plus species attribute variables (5)
spatial effects

2. Kogelberg-Hawequas sub-region
Sample locations, with a 1x1 minute grid overlain
(~41 x 107 km = 1554 grid cells)
[versus ~37,000 cells for full CFR]

3. The hierarchical structure of the model

9. Full Model: Protea cynaroides
10 significant environmental covariates (Betas)

10. Full Model: Sorocephalus imbricatus
0 significant environmental covariates (Betas)

11. Data Thinning: Protea cynaroides

12. Data Thinning: Aulax cancellata

13. Sister-Species “Ghosting”$ T # S P r o b a i l t y - . 1 5 2 3 6 M g e n u s
M. arboreus M. argenteus

14. Hakea sericea (silky needlebush), introduced from Australia: projected distribution and uncertainty in distribution.

15. Species distribution predictions of the full Cape Floristic Region