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a suite of environmental variables (23)

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Presentation on theme: "a suite of environmental variables (23)"— Presentation transcript:

1 Presence/absent of species in grid-cells across the landscape explained by:
a suite of environmental variables (23) plus species attribute variables (5) spatial effects

2 Kogelberg-Hawequas sub-region
Sample locations, with a 1x1 minute grid overlain (~41 x 107 km = 1554 grid cells) [versus ~37,000 cells for full CFR]

3 The hierarchical structure of the model

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9 Full Model: Protea cynaroides
10 significant environmental covariates (Betas)

10 Full Model: Sorocephalus imbricatus
0 significant environmental covariates (Betas)

11 Data Thinning: Protea cynaroides

12 Data Thinning: Aulax cancellata

13 Sister-Species “Ghosting”
$ T # S P r o b a i l t y - . 1 5 2 3 6 M g e n u s M. arboreus M. argenteus

14 Hakea sericea (silky needlebush), introduced from Australia: projected distribution and uncertainty in distribution.

15 Species distribution predictions of the full Cape Floristic Region

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