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Published byGriselda Ball Modified over 6 years ago
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The Technology Life Cycle & Kurzweil's Law of Accelerating Returns Leading to The Singularity
Dr. Charles Tappert Professor of Computer Science School of CSIS, Pace University
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Technology Life Cycle Wikipedia: “Most new technologies follow a similar technology maturity lifecycle describing the technological maturity of a product. This is not similar to a product life cycle, but applies to an entire technology, or a generation of a technology.”
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Technology Life Cycle Kurzweil Kendall
0. Precursor (dream/contemplation) Invention Development (emergence) Maturity (established) Pretenders (threat by upstart) Obsolescence (by new tech) Antiquity Kendall Invention Emergence Acceptance (established) Sublime (fully appreciated) Surplus
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S Curve of the Technology Life Cycle
Saturation Maturity Emergence Invention
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Kurzweil's Law of Accelerating Returns Leading to the Singularity
Law of Accelerating Returns: the rate of technological change is exponentially. The Singularity: the technological creation of smarter-than-human intelligence. Book: The Singularity is Near, 2005 Movie: The Singularity is Near, 2010 Yearly Singularity Summit Conferences
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