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Dr. Charles Tappert Professor of Computer Science

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Presentation on theme: "Dr. Charles Tappert Professor of Computer Science"— Presentation transcript:

1 The Technology Life Cycle & Kurzweil's Law of Accelerating Returns      Leading to The Singularity
Dr. Charles Tappert Professor of Computer Science School of CSIS, Pace University

2 Technology Life Cycle Wikipedia: “Most new technologies follow a similar technology maturity lifecycle describing the technological maturity of a product. This is not similar to a product life cycle, but applies to an entire technology, or a generation of a technology.”

3 Technology Life Cycle Kurzweil Kendall
0. Precursor (dream/contemplation) Invention Development (emergence) Maturity (established) Pretenders (threat by upstart) Obsolescence (by new tech) Antiquity Kendall Invention Emergence Acceptance (established) Sublime (fully appreciated) Surplus

4 S Curve of the Technology Life Cycle
Saturation Maturity Emergence Invention

5 Kurzweil's Law of Accelerating Returns Leading to the Singularity
Law of Accelerating Returns: the rate of technological change is exponentially. The Singularity: the technological creation of smarter-than-human intelligence. Book: The Singularity is Near, 2005 Movie: The Singularity is Near, 2010 Yearly Singularity Summit Conferences


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