1. Managing the migration crisis How statistics can help
NTTS 2017
Brussels, 13/3/2017
Luca Pappalardo – European Commission

2. Magnitude of the challenge
Migration flows
Magnitude of the challenge
Source: Frontex

3. Magnitude of the challenge
Migration flows
Magnitude of the challenge
Source: Frontex

4. The migration crisis in figures
Source: Frontex

5. The migration crisis in figures
Source: Frontex

6. EU Integrated Political Crisis Response (IPCR)
At the end of October 2015, for the first time in the history of the European Union, the Luxembourg Presidency activated the EU Integrated Political Crisis Response arrangements. Initially activated in information sharing mode, ten days later, on 9 November 2015, the IPCR mechanism was activated in full.
The IPCR is a flexible crisis mechanism for supporting the presidency of the Council of the European Union in dealing with major natural or man-made disasters. The IPCR arrangements provide the presidency with tools set up to facilitate information sharing, joint decision making, and coordination of the response at the highest political level.
Both level of activations, ‘information sharing’ and ‘full activation’, entail the possibility for the Member States and the Institutions to exchange information on a dedicated IPCR web platform, accessible to a closed community of users.

7. What is the ISAA report?
Integrated Situational Awareness and Analysis report
Produced within the EU Integrated Political Crisis Response (IPCR) arrangement
IPCR mechanism triggered in full mode on November 2015 in relation with the refugee and migration crisis
Via the web platform is disseminated also the Integrated Situational Awareness and Analysis report (so called ‘ISAA report’), a key document within the IPCR arrangements. It’s a confidential analytical report, prepared under the leadership of the most relevant service in the Commission or the EEAS for the given crisis. DG Migration and Home Affaires was determined as ISAA lead for the migratory crisis. The aim of the ISAA report is to provide decision makers with a clear common picture of the current situation, on the basis of joint information collection and analysis.

8. What is ISAA report?
Produced weekly by the European Commission and EEAS
Includes inputs from MSs and EU agencies (Frontex, EASO, Europol,…)
Tailored at the needs of the political level
Allows a strategic overview of the situation and an informed debate

9. What's in the report Analysis of the situation
Assessment of the EU response
Identification of critical issues and possible shortcomings

10. Analysis of the situation
Arrivals
Operations / incidents
Movements within EU and in the WB
Asylum applications ……
The analysis provided includes trends and figures about:
Arrivals along the main routes and at specific locations
Subsequent movements within the EU and in the WB, but also information on and monitoring of new routes
Number of incidents occurred and the result of Save and Rescue operations
Countries of origin and departure of the migrants
Modus operandi of smugglers
Trend of the asylum applications in the Member States

11. Assessment of the EU response
Reception capacity
Relocations
Resettlements
Deployment (officers/equipment)
Support to MSs ……
The analysis of the EU response contains an assessment of:
• Reception capacity and availability
• Relocations carried out and the pledges for relocations put forwards by the Members States
• Resettlements
• The deployment on the ground of EU Agencies officers and MS experts, as well as of technical equipment.
• In-kind and financial support to MS and to other countries in need in the framework of the Union Civil Protection Mechanism
• Assisted Voluntary Returns

12. Managing migration beyond the crisis Other statistical activities
Cooperation with Eurostat on asylum statistics, enforcement of immigration legislation, residence permits
Cooperation with JRC: Knowledge Centre on Migration and Demography
Cooperation with MSs on specific data collations (IRMA, returns)

13. Statistics: the policy needs
Data:
TIMELINESS
Methodology:
Assessment of reliability of the source
Tools for reconciling of different source
Potential political bias in the data sources

14. Statistics: the policy needs
Not just timeliness: accuracy
Size of revisions of arrivals along the Eastern Mediterranean route
DG Home calculation on FRONTEX data

15. Back to figures
Source: Frontex

16. Thank you for your attention!
Luca Pappalardo
European Commission Directorate General Migration and Home Affairs
Knowledge hub for migration and security