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ENRIQUE FATAS (LINEEX-UTD) SARA GODOY (LINEEX-UV)

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Presentation on theme: "ENRIQUE FATAS (LINEEX-UTD) SARA GODOY (LINEEX-UV)"— Presentation transcript:

1 Take the lead! An experimental analysis of positive and negative leadership
ENRIQUE FATAS (LINEEX-UTD) SARA GODOY (LINEEX-UV) SAE Zaragoza December 2008

2 Two sides of Leadership:
1. Motivation (I) The potential positive role of leadership has been detected in different economic domains Two sides of Leadership: Positive: Charitable fundraising Leaders signal right behavior, inducing followers to act in the same way Negative: Tax compliance Non-exemplary behavior of publicly known evaders might promote dishonest behavior Leadership in organizations It might promote efficiency without the efficiency costs of other institutions (as group incentive contracts and monitoring, mutual monitoring and costly sanctions)

3 Two theoretical perspective on leading by example
1. Motivation (II) Two theoretical perspective on leading by example Exogenous (Hermalin, 1998) Endogenous (Huck and Rey, 2006) Experimental perspective: Exogenous leadership Asymmetric information: Leaders move first (Meidinger and Villeval, 2002) Asymmetric attributes: Leaders have the chance to exclude free riders (Guth et al., 2004) or Distribute earnings (Potters et al., 2006) Endogenous leadership Leaders are endogenously determined and move first Gächter and Renner (2005) Arbak and Villeval (2007)

4 1. Motivation (III): Take the lead!
Our design: The game: Linear public goods game (VCM) Features: Endogenous Anyone can be the leader in any period Symmetric and horizontal Leaders and followers make the same decisions simultaneously Leaders cannot sanction followers (a kind of low powered incentive system) Becoming a leader is costless but (strategically) risky A strong test for leading by example

5 2. Experimental Design: The game
A standard linear public goods game based on the VCM MPCR=0.5; group size =4; rounds (surprise restart game); endowment = 50 tokens; partners random matching Treatment effects: after decisions are made subjects get back different social information Good leader treatment (GL) Unique available information: Highest contribution in their group Bad leader treatment (BL) Unique available information: Lowest contribution in their group Baseline Available information: Vector of contributions, no trace

6 3. Experimental Procedures
Computerized experiments LINEEX, Ztree 6/9 sessions per treatment 96 inexperienced undergraduate students Background: business and economics Subjects were asked to allocate the initial endowment Partners random matching mechanism Re-start effect

7 4. Results (I): Descriptive Statistics
Table 1: Summary. Treatment Info Groups Ss Avg. contribution (%) All Original Restart GL Max ci 9 36 36.52 41.79 31.29 BL Min ci 23.9 24.72 21.27 BSL Vector 6 24 30.66 31.88 29.46

8 4. Results (II): Having a Good leader matters

9 4. Results (II): The usual decline holds

10 4. Results (I & II): Treatment Effects (FGL vs FBL)
Table 2: Treatment Effect. Random effects regression results (S.E); Dependent variable: Individual Contributions. Model 1 (all rounds) Model 2 OG RG Constant 23.67*** (2.603) 22.89*** (2.96) 21.53*** (2.44) Restart -2.92*** (1.06) --- -- Period -1.250*** (0.13) -1.26*** (0.14) -1.24*** (0.17) GL 2.94(2.87) 4.96 (3.54) 0.92 (2.72) BL -3.83(3.42) -3.58 (3.77) -4.09 (3.56) GL vs. BL 6.77**(3.29) 8.54** (3.43) 5.01 (3.52) Nº Obs. 1920 960

11 4. Results (III): Leadership & top contributors

12 4. Results (III): Leadership & bottom contributors

13 4. Results (III): Leadership and top/bottom performers
Table 3: Contribution by leaders. Random effects regression results (S.E); Dependent variable: Highest/Lowest contributions Dep. Var. Highest Contribution Lowest Contribution Model 3 Model 4 Model 5 Model 6 OG RG Constant 37*** (3.69) 34.03*** (3.49) 36.27*** (4.36) 10.11*** (2.27) 10.90*** (3.17) 8.24*** (1.64) Restart -3.70*** (1.34) -1.07 (1.02) Period -1.68*** (0.24) -1.38*** (0.31) -1.98*** (0.28) -0.59*** (0.12) -0.65*** (0.16) -0.53*** (0.14) GL 7.50* (4.23) 9.88** (4.50) 5.13 (4.66) -2.37 (2.31) -2.49 (3.51) -2.25 (1.78) BL -3.58 (4.71) -2.41 (4.88) -4.74 (5.08) -2.18 (2.76) -3.23 (3.52) -1.13 (2.75) GL-BL 11.08*** (3.75) 12.29*** (8.84) 9.87** (4.21) -0.19 (2.56) 0.74 (2.83) -1.12 (2.68) Nº Obs. 480 240

14 4. Results (III): Followers’ contributions

15 4. Results (III): Followers’ Contributions
Table 4: Contribution by followers. Random effects regression results (S.E); Dependent variable: Individual Contributions. Model 7 Data from Control & GL Model 8 Data from Control & BL Model 9 Data from GL & BL Constant 19.93*** (2.89) 27.84*** (2.51) 25.84*** (2.90) Period -1.21*** (0.12) -1.46***(0.14) -1.22***(0.15) Restart -3.18** (1.32) -1.54(1.54) -3.64***(1.31) GL 1.85 (2.84) -- -3.81(3.20) BL -1.73(3.25) Nº Obs. 843 716 903

16 5. Results (IV): Who’s the leader?
Table 5: Probability of becoming a leader. Random effects probit regression results; Model 9 Data from GL Model 10 Data from BL Contri P1 0.031*** (0.007) -0.025*** LagHig -0.010** (0.004) -- LagLow -0.005 (0.011) Nº Obs. 648

17 Leadership has a significant impact on contribution levels
5. Concluding remarks Leadership has a significant impact on contribution levels Depending on the dimension of leadership Subjects who born leaders strongly react to the chance of becoming the right signal for the others, but Bottom performers do not react. The usual PGG decline holds Positive leadership promotes (does not) higher contributions in top (bottom) performers BUT Followers do not react in a significant way to leaders’ behavior Subjects are born leaders Becoming a leader depends on your initial contribution (type)

18 Thank you for your attention
“Don’t follow leaders, watch your parking meters” “Subterranean Homesick Blues” Bob Dylan


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