1. MAPPING CLIMATE/WEATHER RELATED HAZARDS AND RISKS IN THE PHILIPPINES
Dissemination Workshop for Mapping Philippine Vulnerability to Environmental Disasters
Klima Climate Change Center
8 July 2005
Center for Environmental Geomatics
Climate Studies Division
Manila Observatory

2. Source: PDI Source: PDI Source: PDI Source: PDI Source: PDI
5 July 2001, Typhoon Feria (Bacasmas, Edwin, PDI, INS)
27 May 2003, Typhoon Chedeng
(Bondoc, Joan, PDI, INS)
5 July 2001
(Bacasmas, Edwin, PDI, INS)
5 July 2001
(Bacasmas, Edwin, PDI, INS)
Source: PDI
Source: PDI
27 May 2003, Typhoon Chedeng
(Punzalan, Jim Guia, PDI, INS).

3. (Bacasmas, Edwin, PDI, INS)
17 September 1997 (PDI, INS).
Source: PDI
Source: PDI
Source: PDI
27 April 2003
(Bacasmas, Edwin, PDI, INS)
18 January 1999
(PDI, INS)

4. HISTORICAL CLIMATE IMPACTS
Floods
Droughts
Warming
Decrease in Crop Production
Temperature
Rainfall
Extreme Events
Typhoons
El Niño

5. likelihood of harm, loss, disaster
RISK

6. RISK IMPACTS / HAZARDS EXPOSURE VULNERABILITY
What areas were/are going to be affected?
IMPACTS / HAZARDS
Who/what are going to be affected?
EXPOSURE
What areas can cope?
VULNERABILITY
RISK

7. Risk = H x E x V

8. NATIONAL STATISTICS OFFICE
EXPOSURE
POPULATION DENSITY 2000
NATIONAL STATISTICS OFFICE
CITY/MUNICIPAL DATA
5km x 5km grids

9. HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX 2000
VULNERABILITY
HUMAN DEVELOPMENT INDEX 2000
UNDP
Education
Health
Income

10. HAZARDS
Temperature
Rainfall
Typhoons
El Niño

11. AUSTRALIA’S COMMONWEALTH AND SCIENTIFIC RESEARCH ORGANIZATION
HAZARD
PROJECTED
TEMPERATURE CHANGE
AUSTRALIA’S COMMONWEALTH AND SCIENTIFIC RESEARCH ORGANIZATION
5.625º x 3.2º grids
( )

12. RISK (TEMPERATURE) Sulu Basilan Lanao Del Sur Maguindanao
Lanao Del Norte
Davao Del Sur
Zamboanga Del Sur
Tawi-tawi
Misamis Occidental
Camiguin
Siquijor
Misamis Oriental
Cebu
Agusan Del Norte
Zamboanga Del Norte
Albay
Sarangani
Negros Oriental
Negros Occidental
Ifugao

13. PROJECTED RAINFALL CHANGE
HAZARD
PROJECTED RAINFALL CHANGE
HADLEY CENTRE FOR CLIMATE PREDICTION AND RESEARCH
3.75º x 2.5º grids
( )

14. RISK (RAINFALL CHANGE)
Albay
Pampanga
Ifugao
Rizal
Cavite
Sorsogon
Laguna
Biliran
Batangas
Pangasinan
Masbate
Metro Manila
Tarlac
Nueva Ecija
Northern Samar
Aklan
Capiz
La Union
Western Samar
Romblon

15. HAZARD TYPHOON HITS JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER
(Tropical Depression, Tropical Storms,
Typhoons, Super typhoons)
0.25º x 0.25º grids
( )

16. RISK (TYPHOONS) Cagayan Albay Ifugao Sorsogon Kalinga Ilocos Sur
Ilocos Norte
Camarines Norte
Mountain Province
Camarines Sur
Northern Samar
Catanduanes
Apayao
Pampanga
La Union
Nueva Ecija
Pangasinan
Masbate
Tarlac
Western Samar

17. HAZARD El NIŇO INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE
DATA DISTRIBUTION CENTRE
0.5º x 0.5º grids
( )

18. RISK (EL NIŇO) Sulu Basilan Maguindanao Lanao Del Sur Lanao Del Norte
Davao Del Sur
Misamis Occidental
Sarangani
Zamboanga Del Sur
South Cotabato
Zamboanga Del Norte
North Cotabato
Sultan Kudarat
Siquijor
Tawi-tawi
Negros Oriental
Camiguin
Davao del Norte
Misamis Oriental
Bukidnon

19. Temperature
Rainfall
El Niño
Typhoons

20. SUMMARY Climate Change Typhoon Drought (El Nino)
Temperature: Mindanao, Visayas (central)
Rainfall: Luzon (central, south, southeast), Visayas (east)
Typhoon
Luzon (north, southeast), Visayas (east)
Drought (El Nino)
Mindanao (central, west)