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Understanding Risk Greg Hungerford
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What is Risk? “An adverse event resulting from business operations or its operating environment that could jeopardise the businesses ability to achieve its objectives” or favourable or advantage
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Traditional – pure risks Modern - opportunities
Three Approaches to Risk Traditional – pure risks Modern - opportunities Emerging – different affects on stakeholders
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Operational and Environmental Risks Legal Risks Strategic Risks
Types of Risk Financial Risks Operational and Environmental Risks Legal Risks Strategic Risks Privacy and Information Risks
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Sources of Risk Intrinsic Risks Extrinsic Risks
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Intrinsic Risks Extrinsic Risks Reputation Human Capital Operational
Technological Financial Strategic Extrinsic Risks Supply Lines Competition Man-made Disasters Natural Disasters Political and Legislative Societal and Technical
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What is Risk Management?
“The culture, process and structures that are directed towards the effective management of potential opportunities and adverse effects."
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Hard v’s Soft Aspects Risk Management Culture (People) Structures
Processes
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Embedded v’s Separate Activity
Culture Embedded v’s Separate Activity Everybody becomes involved Philosophy “Doing the Right Thing”
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Mission, Vision, Values, Purpose Systems and Processes Structure
Cultural Drivers Mission, Vision, Values, Purpose Systems and Processes Structure Leadership Job Design and Role Definition Desired v’s Actual Behaviours
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Risk Management Strategy Risk Management Policies
Structure Risk Management Strategy Risk Management Policies Risk Management Procedures Risk Register
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Communicate and Consult
Processes – Managing Risk Communicate and Consult Establish Context Identify Risks Analyse Evaluate Treat Monitor and Review
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Analyse recipients of message Develop key messages and purpose
Communicate and Consult Establish Context Identify Risks Analyse Evaluate Treat Monitor and Review Communicate and Consult Establish objectives Analyse recipients of message Develop key messages and purpose Identify communication owners and senders Identify appropriate channels Determine timing of communication Deliver key messages
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Intrinsic v’s Extrinsic Objectives Scope and Resources Record Keeping
Communicate and Consult Establish Context Identify Risks Analyse Evaluate Treat Monitor and Review Establish Context Intrinsic v’s Extrinsic Objectives Scope and Resources Record Keeping Risk Tolerance
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…… something could happen
Communicate and Consult Establish Context Identify Risks Analyse Evaluate Treat Monitor and Review Identify Risks What Where When Why How …… something could happen
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Document risk identification process
Communicate and Consult Establish Context Identify Risks Analyse Evaluate Treat Monitor and Review Identify Risks What to consider Risk Categories Gather Information Tools and Techniques Brainstorming Flow Charting etc Document risks Document risk identification process
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Existing controls Risk likelihood Risk consequence Risk level
Communicate and Consult Establish Context Identify Risks Analyse Evaluate Treat Monitor and Review Analyse Risks Existing controls Risk likelihood Risk consequence Risk level
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Analyse Risks
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Rank the risks Overall risk profile Prioritise risks Evaluate Risks
Communicate and Consult Establish Context Identify Risks Analyse Evaluate Treat Monitor and Review Evaluate Risks Rank the risks Overall risk profile Prioritise risks Risk Likelihood Consequence Overall Rating Ranking A 2 4 6 B 3 12 C 8 D 1 7 E 9 F 5 G 15
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Evaluate Risks
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Identify risk treatment options Select risk treatment options
Communicate and Consult Establish Context Identify Risks Analyse Evaluate Treat Monitor and Review Treat Risks Identify risk treatment options Select risk treatment options Assign risk ownership Prepare risk treatment plans
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Change the Consequence Share/Transfer the Risk Retain the Risk
Treat Risks Treatment Options Avoid the Risk Change the Likelihood Change the Consequence Share/Transfer the Risk Retain the Risk
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Understand the different types and levels of monitoring and review
Communicate and Consult Establish Context Identify Risks Analyse Evaluate Treat Monitor and Review Monitoring and Review Understand the different types and levels of monitoring and review Establish your monitoring and review cycle Measure risk management performance
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THANK YOU
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