Presentation is loading. Please wait.

Presentation is loading. Please wait.

D. Paronis1 , P. Jiggens3 , A. Hilgers3

Published byDylan Lee Modified over 6 years ago

Similar presentations

Presentation on theme: "D. Paronis1 , P. Jiggens3 , A. Hilgers3"— Presentation transcript:

1 D. Paronis1 , P. Jiggens3 , A. Hilgers3
Foretelling Flares and Solar Energetic Particle Events: the FORSPEF tool A. Anastasiadis1 , A. Papaioannou1 , I. Sandberg1 , M. K. Georgoulis2 , K.Tziotziou1 , D. Paronis1 , P. Jiggens3 , A. Hilgers3 1IAAASARS, National Observatory of Athens, Penteli, Greece 2RCAAM, Academy of Athens, Athens, Greece 3ESTEC/ESA, Space Environment and Effects Section Keperlaan 1, Noordwijk, The Netherlands Session 1:  Solar Energetic Particle Events: Measurement, Modeling, Forecasting and Impact

2 The FORSPEF Tool http://tromos.space.noa.gr/forspef Operational Core
Solar Flare SEP FORSPEF Tool Database Validation Probabilities of Solar Flare and CME occurrence based on AR SDO/HMI data Probabilities of SEP event Occurrence based on SF Probabilities Range: Solar Flares: 20459 CMEs: 3680 SEP events:314 AR magnetograms: 55691 Categorical & Probabilistic Scores for each module Forecasting Integrated web-based tool Nowcasting Nowcasting Probabilities of SEP event Occurrence & Characteristics Probabilities of SEP event Occurrence based on Type III bursts For a given Solar Flare For a given CME SEP / Flares SEP / CMEs SEP / Radio European Space Weather Week (ESWW13)   Session 1 Oostende

3 The FORSPEF Tool: Demo

Download ppt "D. Paronis1 , P. Jiggens3 , A. Hilgers3"

Similar presentations

15-19 November, 2010 - Brugge 7 th European Space Weather Week Creating an SEP flux database from ESA/SREM measurements I. Sandberg, I.A. Daglis and A.

15-19 November, Brugge 7 th European Space Weather Week Creating an SEP flux database from ESA/SREM measurements I. Sandberg, I.A. Daglis and A.
Space Environment Center Service Start to Finish Joe Hirman SEC Lab Review 11-12 July 2000.

Space Environment Center Service Start to Finish Joe Hirman SEC Lab Review July 2000.
Acceleration of Solar Energetic Particles Rami Vainio University of Helsinki, Department of Physics, Finland University of Turku, Department of Physics.

Acceleration of Solar Energetic Particles Rami Vainio University of Helsinki, Department of Physics, Finland University of Turku, Department of Physics.
Pete Truscott 1, Daniel Heynderickx 2, Fan Lei 3, Athina Varotsou 4, Piers Jiggens 5 and Alain Hilgers 5 (1) Kallisto Consultancy, UK; (2) DH Consultancy,

Pete Truscott 1, Daniel Heynderickx 2, Fan Lei 3, Athina Varotsou 4, Piers Jiggens 5 and Alain Hilgers 5 (1) Kallisto Consultancy, UK; (2) DH Consultancy,
Splinter Session – ‘Space Weather Metrics, Verification & Validation.’ Thursday 20 th Nov., 16:30 - 18:00 Splinter session - Space weather metrics, verification.

Splinter Session – ‘Space Weather Metrics, Verification & Validation.’ Thursday 20 th Nov., 16: :00 Splinter session - Space weather metrics, verification.
Space Weather User Needs Related to Solar Observations Eamonn Daly and Alexi Glover ESA Space Environments and Effects Section ESTEC, The Netherlands.

Space Weather User Needs Related to Solar Observations Eamonn Daly and Alexi Glover ESA Space Environments and Effects Section ESTEC, The Netherlands.
Construction of a long term interplanetary He dataset in the framework of the ESA ESHIEM project D. Heynderickx, DH Consultancy, Belgium A. Varotsou, A.

Construction of a long term interplanetary He dataset in the framework of the ESA ESHIEM project D. Heynderickx, DH Consultancy, Belgium A. Varotsou, A.
On the link between the solar energetic particles and eruptive coronal phenomena On the link between the solar energetic particles and eruptive coronal.

On the link between the solar energetic particles and eruptive coronal phenomena On the link between the solar energetic particles and eruptive coronal.
COMESEP: Forecasting the Space Weather Impact Norma Crosby 1, Astrid Veronig 2, Eva Robbrecht 3, Bojan Vrsnak 4, Susanne Vennerstrøm 5, Olga Malandraki.

COMESEP: Forecasting the Space Weather Impact Norma Crosby 1, Astrid Veronig 2, Eva Robbrecht 3, Bojan Vrsnak 4, Susanne Vennerstrøm 5, Olga Malandraki.
Space Weather and Applications NESSC 14 June 2006 Boston University.

Space Weather and Applications NESSC 14 June 2006 Boston University.
30-Day Science Plan Angelos Vourlidas, Russ Howard SECCHI Consortium Meeting IAS 8 March 2007.

30-Day Science Plan Angelos Vourlidas, Russ Howard SECCHI Consortium Meeting IAS 8 March 2007.
Discussion Summary: Group B –Solar Active Regions And Their Production of Flares and Coronal Mass Ejections Discussion Leaders: George Fisher Hugh Hudson.

Discussion Summary: Group B –Solar Active Regions And Their Production of Flares and Coronal Mass Ejections Discussion Leaders: George Fisher Hugh Hudson.
GEANT-4/Spenvis User Meeting November 2006 Solar Energetic Particle Modelling Activities at ESA A.Glover 1, E. Daly 1,A. Hilgers 1, SEPEM Consortium 2.

GEANT-4/Spenvis User Meeting November 2006 Solar Energetic Particle Modelling Activities at ESA A.Glover 1, E. Daly 1,A. Hilgers 1, SEPEM Consortium 2.
Assigned Question: To what extent can CME initiation be predicted without detailed understanding of the CME initiation physics? (i.e., what is the usefulness.

Assigned Question: To what extent can CME initiation be predicted without detailed understanding of the CME initiation physics? (i.e., what is the usefulness.
GEANT-4, Spenvis Users Meeting, 6-9 Nov, 2006 Interplanetary Proton Cumulative Fluence Model Update A.Glover 1,2, A. Hilgers 1,3, L. Rosenqvist 1,4, H.

GEANT-4, Spenvis Users Meeting, 6-9 Nov, 2006 Interplanetary Proton Cumulative Fluence Model Update A.Glover 1,2, A. Hilgers 1,3, L. Rosenqvist 1,4, H.
NOAA Space Environment Center The Status of Solar Cycle 23 Joe Kunches Chief, Space Weather Operations NOAA Space Environment Center Boulder, Colorado.

NOAA Space Environment Center The Status of Solar Cycle 23 Joe Kunches Chief, Space Weather Operations NOAA Space Environment Center Boulder, Colorado.
Lessons learned from CCMC-led community-wide Model Validation Challenges. Outlook on international coordination of M&V activities. MODELS  DATA  TOOLS.

Lessons learned from CCMC-led community-wide Model Validation Challenges. Outlook on international coordination of M&V activities. MODELS  DATA  TOOLS.
Space weather forecasting has made tremendous strides in recent years. Nevertheless, there are frequent mismatches between predicted and measured impacts.

Space weather forecasting has made tremendous strides in recent years. Nevertheless, there are frequent mismatches between predicted and measured impacts.
Establishing a Space Weather Service based upon Neutron Monitors for the ESA SSA Program 1 Nuclear & Particle Physics Section, Physics Department National.

Establishing a Space Weather Service based upon Neutron Monitors for the ESA SSA Program 1 Nuclear & Particle Physics Section, Physics Department National.
IHY Workshop A PERSONAL VIEW OF SOLAR DRIVERS for Solar Wind Coronal Mass Ejections Solar Energetic Particles Solar Flares.

IHY Workshop A PERSONAL VIEW OF SOLAR DRIVERS for Solar Wind Coronal Mass Ejections Solar Energetic Particles Solar Flares.

Similar presentations

Ads by Google