1. Scenarios (1) Round 1 - (December 2006) Baselines
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30/11/2018
Scenarios (1)
Round 1 - (December 2006)
Baselines
Member States NECD baseline
EU-wide NECD baseline with a low carbon constraint (€ 20/tCO2)
EU-wide NECD baseline with high carbon constraint (€ 90/tCO2)
Optimisation according to interim objectives of the Air Strategy "Strategy"
Vs. Member States NECD baseline
Vs. EU-wide NECD baseline with low a carbon constraint (€ 20/tCO2)
Vs. EU-wide NECD baseline with high carbon constraint (€ 90)

2. Scenarios (2) Round 2 – Additional scenarios (February 2007)
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30/11/2018
Scenarios (2)
Round 2 – Additional scenarios (February 2007)
Optimization according to European Parliament resolution: “Parliament amendment”
Scenario run for selected future community measures: “Community measures”
Scenario runs including the effect of including ship emissions: “Ship emissions”

3. Scenarios (3) Round 3 - Sensitivity runs (April 2007)
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30/11/2018
Scenarios (3)
Round 3 - Sensitivity runs (April 2007)
Optimisation according to interim objectives of the Air Strategy vs alternative baselines
Assuming climate policy meeting -20% CO2 reduction by 2020
Assuming climate policy according to the full GAINS model
Other sensitivity runs
Different emission scenarios for non EU-Member States
Sensitivity to meteorological years (extreme year)
All Member States respect their NEC ceilings by 2010