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Published byNickolas Perry Modified over 10 years ago
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Current Pricing Projections -NYMEX futures currently $12.50-$13.50 -NYMEX futures do not fall below $10.97 through March 2010 -Current forecasts have $14.00+ from July through January -Continued price volatility and price speculation -Limited current benefit from hedging and storage injections
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Upside Price Concerns -Lower LNG imports and world supply competition -Relatively low storage inventory -Increasing exports to Mexico, lower imports from Canada
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Potential Downside Factors -Mild summer, moderate electric generation usage -Continued economic slowdown -No hurricanes in Gulf
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Regulatory Actions -LIHEAP customer eligibility and sign up -Budget billing promotion (late for enrollment) -Increased conservation information to customers -Caution in TPS initiatives -20% to 30% Y/Y increases being filed -Accelerated mid year increases
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Long-Term Considerations -Supply portfolio diversification, Gulf Coast, LNG imports, REX supply -Production area vs. Market Area Storage -Modified LDC hedging strategies
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