1. Inspired by love, Motivated by passion
2009 Advanced Training Workshop on Southeast Asia Regional Climate Change and Health Issues
A presentation of Research Proposal By
Group 2
Inspired by love, Motivated by passion

3. Research Title Climate Types Ecological Epidemiological
Vulnerabilities
Research Title
Linking Climate Types with Ecological and Epidemiological Vulnerabilities in Southeast Asia
Linking

4. CONTENT Grounding the Issue Setting the Objectives Research Framework
Research Team
Grounding the Issue
Setting the Objectives
Research Framework
Conceptualising the Approach
Expected Outcome and Relevance
Research Schedule
Estimated Budget

5. Principal Investigators on Sites
Northeast Monsoon
October-March
Research Team
Nidi Nagabhatla
Nidhi (Cambodia)
Landscape Ecology
Yi-Chen Wang
Hung (Vietnam)
Air Pollution
Ramzah Dambul
Nguyen Tri Quang Hung
Srithaya Ridchuayrod
Srithaya (Thailand)
Water Pollution
Ramzah (Malaysia)
Synoptic Climatology
Southweast Monsoon
May-September
Yi-Chen (Singapore)
Biogeography

6. Investigating the Linkage
Grounding the Issue
Precipitation
Climatic
Elements
Human
Ecology
Social
Relationship
Temperature
Ecology
Synoptic
Circulation
Epidemiology
Understanding the Climate
Investigating the Linkage
Assessing the Impacts
Features
Distribution
Sensitivity
Behaviours
Patterns
Trends
Vulnerability
Diagnostic
Mechanism
VULNERABILITY
Driving Causes
(climate/weather)
Symptoms
(Ecosystem Health)
Planning
Climate
Change
Projection &
Prediction

7. Setting the Objectives
To establish the linking relationships between climate types and ecological-epidemiological aspects
To assess the established relationships in terms of sensitivity and vulnerability
To project future changes (climate types) and predict potential intensification of the impacts (sensitivity and vulnerability)

8. Research Framework TASKS INPUTS METHOD OUTPUT
Level 1: Classifying the climate modes based on synoptic circulation
Sea Level Pressure (SLP)
 Over the Southeast Asia
PCA
Correlation
Cluster analysis
Climate Types
Level 2: Relating the Climate Types with ground parameters:
- Flood, Fisheries, Acidification, etc
Epidemiological and ecological variables
 Water quality, fish production, mortality
Time-series analysis
Correlation, regression
Descriptive statistics
Spatial analysis
Thresholds (sensitivity & vulnerability)
Algorithm for modeling
Level 3: Projecting future scenarios under the change climate influences
Reproducing the Climate Types using GCM (based on various scenarios)
Future Climate Types (frequency over time)
Level 4: Predicting future sensitivity and vulnerability
Spatial analysis (GIS)
Sensitivity and vulnerability in the future
Level 5: Communicating information and findings to stakeholders (policy-maker, society)
Degree of sensitivity
Trends, patterns and distributions of vulnerability
Probability analysis
SWOT analysis
Strategic and action plans for mitigation and adaptation

9. Epidemiological Impacts
Conceptualising the Approach
Linkage
Ecological &
Epidemiological Impacts
Climate Influences
Trends
Patterns
Distribution
Climate Types
Ecosystem Health
Fisheries
Sensitivity
Mortality
Vulnerability
Acidification
Flooding

10. Significance & Relevance
Dealing with These Challenges
Diagnosed regional vulnerability under different climatic scenarios
Improved understanding of local coping mechanisms and adaptive responses
Strengthened capacity of stakeholders for strategic and action plans

11. Climate Change v.s. Health: Established
Physical
Chemical
Biological
Bio-Chemical
Bio-physical
Direct Impacts
Temperature
CVD, RTD Temperature-Related Disease
Vector Expanding Tick-Borne Disease
Indirect Impacts
Ozone, UV rays, Air Quality
Dermatitis Eyes disease;
CVD; RTD
Pollution
Fungus Expanding RTD
Water Precipitation Drought
Flooding ; nature disaster
Food Insufficient
Water-borne disease
Mental health; Traffic accident
Ecological
Food safety ; gene mutation
Vector expanding vector-borne disease
Gene mutation
Food
Food safety
Food insufficient; food safety V
From Prof Jenny Su’s slide (Source: American Journal of Public Health 2008)

12. Research Schedule
Total Months Allocated
Every Segment Represents 4-month Period (Month 1  36)
RESEARCH SPECIFIC TASKS
1-4
5-8
9-12
13-16
17-20
21-24
25-28
29-32
33-36
Grounding the issues (i.e. literature review and establishing the comprehensive framework) 4
Gathering and validating data 8
Classifying the Climate Types
Analysing the site-specific data and establishing time-series
Investigating the relationship between Climate Types and site-specific ground variables
Assessing the sensitivity and vulnerability 16
Establishing various linkage algorithms for various ground variables
Simulating future scenarios and predicting the changing sensitivity and vulnerability
Outlining strategic plans for mitigation and adaptation actions (workshop, publication)

13. Estimated Budget (3 Years Project)
ITEMS
US $ 1
Human resource (wages)
110,000.00 2
Training, workshop, seminar, publication
20,000.00 3
Administration & coordination 4
Traveling & accommodation 5
Purchase of documents, data, equipments 6
Secretariat & stationary items
10,000.00
TOTAL
200,000.00

14. Common goal and aspiration….
.. brought us all here, together.
From the bottom
of our hearts,
THANK YOU!