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House Price Indices ESTP course -MIP Luxembourg 1-3 December 2015 Bogdan Marola Eurostat - Unit C4
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Outline House Price Index (HPI) – common concepts and definitions
HPI for MIP Dissemination HPI sub-indices for new and existing dwellings Conclusions
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HPI – common concepts and definitions (i)
HPI measures the price changes of dwellings purchased by households Constant mix and quality – "pure" price changes Transaction prices Price includes VAT for new dwellings Transaction costs (notary, registry/cadastre, agency, bank) excluded
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HPI – common concepts and definitions (ii)
Index for the price of all (new and existing) dwellings purchased by households: flats, detached houses, terraced houses, etc. independently of their final use independently of previous owners
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HPIs for MIP: deflated HPIs
“Deflated HPI” - ratio between the HPI and the national accounts deflator for final consumption expenditure (households + NPISH). Final consumption expenditure deflator: implicit index the quarterly data often revised The ‘alarm threshold’ is 6% in the annual rate of change.
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HPI data sources and methods
Available information will determine compilation methods Sufficient number of transactions needed for reliable indices Eurostat's Handbook on Residential property price indices (2013): housing-price-statistics/residential-property-handbook
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HPI quarterly dissemination
Launched in 2013 News release on Eurostat home page Database Statistics explained article MIP webpage Data currently available for 29 countries
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HPI News Release Every quarter on http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat
Chart displaying annual rate of change Table with quarterly and annual rates of change
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HPI database On the Eurostat database:
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Statistics Explained Wiki page on Housing Statistics
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MIP webpage
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Metadata Available for 29 countries at the Eurostat HPI database
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HPI sub-indices for new and existing dwellings
In December 2014 Eurostat released: HPI for dwelling categories = new/ existing Item weights (per 1,000) Breakdown currently available for 22 countries Released every quarter at the same time as the total HPI
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Conclusions HPIs released by Eurostat are compiled by the EU statistical offices following common concepts and definitions One of the MIP headline indicators Are a comparable measure of house price evolution in EU countries Data and metadata available on Eurostat website
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? Questions and answers ? ? ?
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