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Probability.

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Presentation on theme: "Probability."— Presentation transcript:

1 Probability

2 Genotype Ratio % Phenotype Yy 4:4 100 Yellow

3 Draw the Punnett Square
Y y

4 Draw the Punnett Square
Y y Yy

5

6 Draw the Punnett Square
Y y

7 Y y YY Yy yy Y y

8 Genotype Ratio % Phenotype YY 1:4 25 Yellow 3:4 75 Yy 2:4 50 yy Green

9 Probability Punnett squares show all possible combinations of gametes and the likelihood that it will occur Results will not ALWAYS fit the exact ratios Genetics has a ‘chance’ factor Probability (or chance) that an event will occur is determined by dividing the number of desired outcomes by the total number of possible outcomes

10 Calculating Probability (P)
Toss a coin, it can land on heads or tails The P of getting heads (the desired outcome) out of 2 (the total number of possible outcomes, as a coin can only have heads or tails) P (heads)= 1:2 or ½

11 Data Analysis Results of a heterozygous round seed cross:
Calculate the actual ratio of round-seeded plants to wrinkled-seeded plants by dividing the number of round-seeded plants by the number of wrinkled-seeded plants MeKind of Plant NuNumbNumber of Plants Round seeded 5474 Wrinkled seeded 1850 Whatis the ratio , write the number (ie. 5:1) How does this ratio observed compare with the expected 3:1 ratio?

12 R r

13 R r RR Rr rr P of

14 P(round seeds) is 3:4 Sample size does not exactly fit predicted ratio Important to note that results predicted by probability are more likely to be seen when there is a large number of offspring Larger the sample size, the better


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