1. Bouncing Back From Drought, How Resilient are Citrus and Almonds? Mark Skewes Research Scientist – Drought Response Loxton Research Centre

2. Defining Resilience Crop Resilience Survival Productivity Business Resilience Individual Businesses Regional Economy

3. SURVIVAL Crop Resilience

4. 11 February 2008

5. 23 June 2009

6. 30 June 2010

7. 20 October 2011

8. PRODUCTIVITY Crop Resilience

9. Drought Monitoring Program

10. Yield/Applied Water (NP Almonds)

11. Yield/ETc (NP Almonds)

12. Yield/Applied Water (Citrus)

13. Yield/ETc (Citrus)

14. Crop Resilience Strategies Canopy reduction Reduce crop water demand Reduce stress Partial cover irrigation Reduce evaporative losses Some issues with recovery Sunscreen products Reduce stress Limited success

15. INDIVIDUAL BUSINESSES Business Resilience

16. Almonds High water requirements Cost of production increasing Returns high Cost of replacement water generally justified Few plantings removed

17. Citrus Moderate water requirements Cost of production increasing Returns variable (varieties, markets) Cost of replacement water often justified Some plantings removed

18. Wine Grapes Low water requirements Cost of production increasing Returns low (often below cost of production) Cost of replacement water not justified Many plantings removed

19. REGIONAL ECONOMY Business Resilience

20. Drought vs. Murray-Darling Basin Plan Drought

21. Drought vs. Murray-Darling Basin Plan Drought Basin Plan

24. Conclusions Resilience measured at different scales Survival of permanent plantings is paramount Management techniques are available to maintained production Business survival is about more than just crop response to water deficit Regional economies generally coped with short term drought, but.......?