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Predicting Winter Precipitation

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Presentation on theme: "Predicting Winter Precipitation"— Presentation transcript:

1 Predicting Winter Precipitation
By: Tony Cummings

2 Problem Winter precipitation is major issue Georgia is not as prepared
Seasonal forecast would be helpful Already forecast seasonal temperatures

3 Data Same data as undergraduate research KATL and KAHN from 1973-2007
ASOS data Used Matlab script to decode

4 Methodology Decode Data Analyze data Linear Correlations [corr()]
Periodograms [periodogram()] Cross spectral Analysis cspd() mscohere() angle() .

5 Correlations

6 Periodograms

7 Zoomed Periodograms

8 Cross Spectral Analysis

9 Phase angle

10 Conclusions Temps and Hours of precipitation are statistically correlated Strong 6 year precipitation cycle Cross Spectral Analysis results mixed Precipitation predictions similar to temperature predictions


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