1. Guidance document for national employment flash estimates
TF Employment flash estimates Luxembourg, March 2017 Item 7

2. Contents Problem statement
Possible content of a guidance document for national employment flash estimates
Organisation of the drafting process
Alternatives to the guidance document
Your opinion
TF EMP-FL - 28/ Item 7

3. 1. Problem statement Considering that…
The EA/EU employment flash estimate should in principle be based on real data (no modelling)
Sufficient and good quality national employment flash estimations are required
Some countries are not very experienced in preparing early employment estimates that are based on partial information
The problem statement is…
Is there a need for a document that provides guidance for preparing national employment flash estimates?
TF EMP-FL - 28/ Item 7

4. 2. Possible content of a guidance document for national employment flash estimates
Overview of possible sources
Source by source description of how to transform source to national accounts estimate
Description of indicators that can replace missing data
Description of possible models/techniques to estimate missing data (mainly for third month of the quarter)
TF EMP-FL - 28/ Item 7

5. 3. Organisation of the drafting process (1)
How?
Establish a working group consisting of some Task Force members
Appoint a coordinator
Agree on issues to be addressed in the guidance document
Distribute the issues between the members of the working group
Combine the contributions to the overall guidance document
Final editing of the guidance document
TF EMP-FL - 28/ Item 7

6. 3. Organisation of the drafting process (2)
When?
Guidance document preferably to be finalised by end-2017.
Who?
Drafting of national estimation techniques to be performed by national experts – you!
Eurostat prepared to do the final editing and language check.
TF EMP-FL - 28/ Item 7

7. 4. Alternatives to new guidance document
Use guidance document GDP flash estimation methods
Can probably be used with limited (?) number of adaptations
Collect and make available existing documents on national employment flash estimation methods
Do they exist?
Unsure about content
Eurostat/translation service can translate from national language into English
TF EMP-FL - 28/ Item 7

8. 5. Your opnion on…
The need for a guidance document on the compilation of national employment flash estimates
Your willingness to contribute to such a document
Existence of documents on national employment flash estimation methods
TF EMP-FL - 28/ Item 7

9. Guidance document for national employment flash estimates
TF Employment flash estimates Luxembourg, March 2017 Item 7