1. ASSESS Initiative Update
Analysis, Simulation and Systems Engineering Software Strategies

2. Understanding the Simulation Revolution

3. Understanding the Simulation Revolution
Failure Analysis
This is where simulation begins
Understanding “why it failed”
Run by a few “experts”
Dominated by test vs analysis comparisons

4. Understanding the Simulation Revolution
Design Validation
Checking before it fails
The dawn of Virtual Prototyping
Broader use of simulation

5. Understanding the Simulation Revolution
Design Decision Support
Why not use simulation to make better design decisions
Why not ask designers to run simulations

6. Understanding the Simulation Revolution
Design Drivers
Simulation Driven Design
Simulation making design decisions

7. Understanding the Simulation Revolution
Systems Engineering
Driven by growth of embedded software
Heavily used in EDA world
Design drivers extended to systems

8. Understanding the Simulation Revolution
Engineering Simulation Market Continues to grow and is over $ 5 Bn annually
But growth rate is slowing to ~ 8.5%
Data courtesy of Cambashi CAE Observatory

9. Understanding the Simulation Revolution
Growth of the Engineering Simulation market is tempered due to lack of expertise available
Engineering Simulation is still done primarily by specialized Analysts

10. Understanding the Simulation Revolution
Business Drivers are going to force a “revolution” to overcome the expertise based limitation
Engineering Simulation will be forced to find a way
A Simulation Revolution will occur

11. Understanding the Simulation Revolution
A Simulation Revolution is occurring:
“Model-Based”
“Fit for purpose”
“Integrated”
“Smart”
“Transparent” / “Invisible”
“Generative”
“Digital Twin”
CULTURE CHANGE

12. Bob Tickel’s ASSESS 2017 Congress Keynote illustrated estimated spend on Engineering Simulation at Cummins is very similar to ASSESS demand curve.
Biggest growth in the next two decades is expected to be in Systems Engineering
“Democratization” - New Tools, Methods and Skills (MDO, MBSE, etc.)
Automation, Knowledge Management & Reduced Rework

13. Understanding the Simulation Revolution
The Simulation Revolution is about making Engineering Simulation widely available & appropriate to support improved decision making throughout the entire life-cycle of engineered products and processes

14. Understanding the Simulation Revolution
Approaches
Increased emphasis on Model Based Systems Engineering
Increased emphasis on purpose built applications
Leveraging less accurate near real time approaches
Leveraging simulation knowledge capture & reuse
Generative Design
Digital Twins

15. Understanding the Simulation Revolution
Engineering Simulation is a key enabler to Increased Innovation & Increased Competitiveness

16. The ASSESS Initiative

17. The ASSESS Initiative
The ASSESS Initiative was formed to bring together key players to guide and influence strategies for software tools for model-based analysis, simulation, and systems engineering.

18. The ASSESS Vision The ASSESS Initiative
“To significantly expand the use and benefit of software tools for model-based analysis, simulation, and systems engineering in the engineering applications domain.”

19. ASSESS Initiative
ASSESS is a broad reaching multi-industry initiative which will interact and collaborate with multiple activities and organizations across the complete spectrum of model-based analysis, simulation and systems engineering including NAFEMS and INCOSE.

20. ASSESS Initiative
Defined 6 key Themes to support the Engineering Simulation revolution
Alignment of Commercial, Research and Government Efforts
Business Challenges
Democratization of Engineering Simulation
Engineering Simulation Credibility
Generative Design
Integration of Systems and Detailed Sub-System Simulations

21. Integration of Systems and Detailed Sub-System Simulations

22. Integration of Systems & Detailed Sub-System Simulations
Why is it so hard?
History
CAE tools developed discipline based
Existing Assets
Mental Models
different discipline create different level of input output and different level of mathematical representations and different characteristics / behavior
Data sets not consistent
Coupling can introduce error states
Sub models are usually built by different suppliers in different mathematical models and fidelity
Knowledge and key parameters are not shared across models

23. Integration of Systems & Detailed Sub-System Simulations
What are the major Issues
“SILOS” of understanding
Lack of a common understanding that makes it possible to understand different silos from a common point of view.
Existing standardization efforts (e.g. FMI) are good, but very far from complete
Lack of funding / focus / momentum

24. Integration of Systems & Detailed Sub-System Simulations
ASSESS Systems Theme Goals
Explore and explain the various different models used and their characteristics related to integration (e.g. parametric or instance based, run times, sizes, assumptions, …)
Establish a common understanding, language and terminology for models and simulations across all levels of fidelity and physics
Explore improving the understanding of what models should be used, and when and how they should interact

25. Integration of Systems & Detailed Sub-System Simulations
ASSESS Systems Theme Goals
Define an understanding of current and future methodologies for integration of the full range of physics performance models from systems to detailed components.
Establish consistent expectations between end users and software vendors
Develop an applicability and maturity model for different approaches through description and example use cases

26. ASSESS in Action

27. ASSESS in Action ASSESS Advisory Committee established
63 thought leaders
Working Groups established
One for each ASSESS Theme
Marketing & Outreach

28. ASSESS in Action
ASSESS 2017 Congress (November 2017, Potomac, MD) “Understanding the Simulation Revolution”
80 industry leading participants
2 Keynote presentations
8 Technology Briefings
8 Working Groups each with a particular ASSESS related theme
Democratization of Engineering Simulation
Engineering Simulation Confidence / Governance
Business Challenges
Aligning Commercial, Government and Research Efforts
Potential Game Changers
Looking Forward
Integration of Systems and Detailed Sub-Systems Simulations

29. ASSESS in Action
ASSESS 2018 Congress (October 2018, Chateau Elan) “Launching the Simulation Revolution”
Targeting 115 industry leading participants
2 Keynote presentations
10 Notes from the Front Briefings
12 Working Session each with a particular ASSESS related theme question
Alignment of Commercial, Research and Government Efforts
Business Challenges
Democratization of Engineering Simulation
Engineering Simulation Credibility
Generative Design
Integration of Systems and Detailed Sub-System Simulations

30. ASSESS in Action Membership Program Launched January 2018
Access to all ASSESS initiative “deliverable documents” at no charge, including:
Research Papers as available
Survey research
Others as appropriate
Access to ASSESS Theme status and update reports
Working Group Notes
Congress Working Session Notes
Access to previous ASSESS Congress presentations
Access to ASSESS Members Only LinkedIn Group
ASSESS Members Only newsletter

31. Thank You