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Statistics for IB-SL Biology

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Presentation on theme: "Statistics for IB-SL Biology"— Presentation transcript:

1 Statistics for IB-SL Biology
Making meaning out of data Maria Garling – Hilton High School 12/4/2018

2 Quantitative – measured using a naturally occurring numerical scale
Quantitative data Quantitative – measured using a naturally occurring numerical scale Examples Chemical concentration Temperature Length Weight…etc. Maria Garling – Hilton High School 12/4/2018

3 Qualitative Data Information that relates to characteristics or description (observable qualities) Information is often grouped by descriptive category Examples Species of plant Type of insect Shades of color Rank of flavor in taste testing Remember: qualitative data can be “scored” and evaluated numerically Maria Garling – Hilton High School 12/4/2018

4 How many can you measure?
Sampling Data Don’t have enough time or resources to measure every individual in a population. Choose and measure a representative sample from a population. Need to have a good SAMPLE SIZE in order to “believe” your data. (statistically significant) Sample Size – How many can you measure? Maria Garling – Hilton High School 12/4/2018

5 Can you count EVERY ONE?!?! Maria Garling – Hilton High School
12/4/2018

6 Statistical analysis of a sample
Mean: is the average of data points Range: range is the measure of the spread of data Standard Deviation: is a measure of how the individual observation of data set are dispersed or spread out around the mean Maria Garling – Hilton High School 12/4/2018

7 Standard Deviation The standard deviation tells us how tightly the data points are clustered together When standard deviation is small—data points are clustered very close When standard deviation is large—data points are spread out Maria Garling – Hilton High School 12/4/2018

8 We will use standard deviation to summarize the spread of values around the mean and to compare the means and spread of data between two or more sample In a normal distribution, about 68% of all values lie within ±1 standard deviation of the mean This rises to about 95% for ±2 standard deviation from the mean Standard Deviation Maria Garling – Hilton High School

9 Confidence Interval (CI)
95% certain the mean will be found within the interval Maria Garling – Hilton High School 12/4/2018

10 Confidence Interval (CI)
We will use a CI of 95% (2 SD away from the mean) to measure “significance”. Scenario: You are trying to find the average height of a 5th grade student. You measure 15 students present in one 5th grade class. You calculate the mean to be 1.6 m and the confidence interval to be +/- 0.5m. You measure a second class of 5th grade students, and then a third class of 5th graders, etc. 95% of the time the mean should be between…. Maria Garling – Hilton High School

11 To clarify…. 95% of the times you sample this population (ex: 5th graders), the mean you calculate will be within your CI. Therefore, only 5% of the time, the mean of your population will lie outside this range. Maria Garling – Hilton High School 12/4/2018

12 New Question: Are 6th graders the same height as 5th graders?
You use the same procedure to measure the height of 6th graders. How will you know if there is enough of a difference between the average heights of the two groups to truly be different? Statistical significance: 95% of the data should not overlap So, CI’s should not overlap. If they do, it is not statistically significant (not different). 12/4/2018 Maria Garling – Hilton High School

13 We will use Excel Error Bars
To graphically display data, you will use the CI to generate error bars. Error bars represent the spread around the mean. We will use Excel Maria Garling – Hilton High School 12/4/2018

14 Are 5th graders shorter than 6th graders?
Maria Garling – Hilton High School 12/4/2018

15 Comparing Means What can you conclude when error bars do overlap? No surprises here. When error bars overlap, you can be sure the difference between the two means is not statistically significant. (Due to chance variations) What can you conclude when error bars do not overlap? When error bars do not overlap, you cannot be sure that the difference between two means is statistically significant. T-test is commonly used to compare these groups. What if you are comparing more than two groups? ANOVA is commonly used for comparing multiple groups; we will not be using ANOVA. Maria Garling – Hilton High School 12/4/2018

16 T-test The t-test determines whether the difference observed between the means of two samples is significant The test works by considering the following: The size of the difference between the means of the samples. The number of items in each sample. The amount of variation between the individual values inside of each sample (the standard deviation). Maria Garling – Hilton High School 12/4/2018

17 T-test significance level
When a t-test is performed in Excel, it returns the p value We want p< 0.05 When p < 0.05 than less than 5% of the time the CIs of the two groups will overlap. (Two groups ARE statistically different) When p > 0.05, there is a greater chance the CIs of the two groups will overlap. (Two groups ARE NOT statistically different; difference is due to natural randomness).

18 Are 5th graders shorter than 6th graders?
Excel T-test returned this value: p = Are the heights significantly different? Maria Garling – Hilton High School 12/4/2018

19 Correlation r = 0 no correlation
Correlation is a measure of the association between two factors. The strength of the association between two factors can be measured. An association in which all the values closely follow the trend is described as being a strong correlation. An association in which there is much variation, with many values being far from the trend, is described as being a weak correlation. A value can be given to the strength of the correlation, r. r = +1 a complete positive correlation r = 0 no correlation r = -1 a complete negative correlation 12/4/2018 Maria Garling – Hilton High School

20 Is there a correlation between sunlight intensity and temperature?
If so, what kind?


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