1. Probability and Statistics
Learning Target: I can determine the theoretical probability to predict the outcome of an independent event (such as rolling two dice)
Do Now 6/8 (Finals Review):
Probability and Statistics
Agenda
Do Now
Independent Probability
Dice Games
SKUNK!
Debrief

2. Independent vs. Dependent Probability
The probability of something happening is the likelihood that it will happen out of the total possible outcomes, expressed as a ratio or fraction.
Independent Probability - events where the outcome does not effect future outcomes.
ex. Rolling Dice
Dependent Probability - events where the outcome of a previous event changes the outcome of future events.
ex. Drawing Cards

3. Probability Sum and Product
Probability Sum - Since the likelihood that “something will happen” is 100%, the fractions of the probability of all possible events will always add to be 1.
Ex. Rock Paper Scissors - will always throw one of the three. 1/3 rock + 1/3 paper + 1/3 scissors = 3/3 throw
Probability Product - for independent events, the likelihood that the same thing will happen again is the product of each event.
Ex. Rock Paper Scissors - if 1/3 rock, then 1/3(1/3) = 1/9 that will throw rock twice in a row

4. SKUNK! RULES of SKUNK! There are 5 rounds (S-K-U-N-K).
Everyone stands. Before each roll anyone can choose to either sit (“save” their current points) or stay standing (keep adding points and risk losing them all!)
A pair of dice are rolled. The sum of the dice shown is recorded under the column for the round UNLESS…
A single 1 is rolled, in which case anyone still standing loses their points for that round.
Double 1 are rolled, in which case anyone left standing loses their points in that column and from ALL PREVIOUS ROUNDS.
After Round 5, the person with the most total points wins.

5. DICE Probability (Debrief)
What are the possible outcomes for the dice?
How many ways are there to get each outcome?
What are the probabilities for getting each outcome? D2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 D1 9 10 11 12

6. Probability and Statistics
Learning Target: I can determine the theoretical probability to predict the outcome of an independent event (such as rolling two dice)
Do Now 6/9 (Finals Review):
Probability and Statistics
Agenda
Do Now
Independent Probability
Dice Games
SKUNK!
Debrief

7. P1 What is the Chance of rolling something with a 1 each round
P1 What is the Chance of rolling something with a 1 each round? Each game? Overall?
Would the house win if it sits after 3 rolls no matter what?
Is there a better strategy?

8. P4 What is the Chance of rolling something with a 1 each round
P4 What is the Chance of rolling something with a 1 each round? Each game? Overall?
Would the house win if it sits after 3 rolls no matter what?
Is there a better strategy?

9. P5 What is the Chance of rolling something with a 1 each round
P5 What is the Chance of rolling something with a 1 each round? Each game? Overall?
Would the house win if it sits after 3 rolls no matter what?
Is there a better strategy?

10. P6 What is the Chance of rolling something with a 1 each round
P6 What is the Chance of rolling something with a 1 each round? Each game? Overall?
Would the house win if it sits after 3 rolls no matter what?
Is there a better strategy?

11. P7 What is the Chance of rolling something with a 1 each round
P7 What is the Chance of rolling something with a 1 each round? Each game? Overall?
Would the house win if it sits after 3 rolls no matter what?
Is there a better strategy?

15. Probability and Statistics
Learning Target: I can determine the theoretical probability to predict the outcome of an independent event (such as rolling two dice)
Do Now 6/11 (Finals Review):
Find the surface area of the figure below.
Probability and Statistics
Agenda
Do Now
3 Act Lesson: Starburst
Debrief

16. 3 Act Lesson: Yellow STarburst
What questions come to mind?

17. Act 1: Questions

18. Act 1: Estimates

19. Act 2: Info We have/Need