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Catalog Desk Impact and Opportunity Analysis
Mark Kalmbacher
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Study Overview Identify Sample Relationships
Build/Evaluate Trade Areas Zip Score Methodology
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Identify Sample Relationships
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Identify Sample Relationships
Sample Set: 12 store relationships. Large, Medium, Small markets geographically distributed across the US. Determine physical attributes for benchmark set Distance parameters Trade area extent Utilize entire universe of catalog desks as benchmarks for comparison of new locations. Share of potential comparison Impact on nearby department stores
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Sample Set US Markets Store Locations Sample Set
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Build/Evaluate Trade Area Data
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Store Desk Trade Area
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Catalog Desk Trade Area
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Trade Area Comparisons
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Evaluate Trade Area Extents
1997 1998 1999
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Trade Area Evaluation Home Zip Code Analysis
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Trade Area Evaluation Home Zip Code Analysis
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Significant Factors on Zip Sales
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The average distance to nearest
store is 43 miles.
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Geo Home Zip Sales Less than 30 Miles More than 30 Miles
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Sample Store Trade Area Comparisons
Home Zip Code Characteristics Geo Desks 30 miles 12,000 Population $1 million Potential 30% Corporate Share 70% of Total desk sales Metro Desks 15 miles 30,000 Population $3 million Potential 16% Corporate Share 60% of Total desk sales
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Calculation of Market Potential and Share
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North American Industry
Classification System (NAICS)
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Calculation of Market Potential and Share
Census of Retail Trade at zip level Customer segmentation modeling Proxy for Population and Income
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Zip Score Methodology
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Zip Score Methodology Potential Current Sales Share of Market
Geography (Metro/Geo) Cannibalization - distance factor
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Potential New Desks
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Potential New Desks
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