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The Exponential Distribution

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Presentation on theme: "The Exponential Distribution"— Presentation transcript:

1 The Exponential Distribution

2 The Exponential Distribution
Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 6th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2009  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

3 The Weibull Distribution

4 The Weibull Distribution
When β = 1, the Weibull reduces to the exponential Introduction to Statistical Quality Control, 6th Edition by Douglas C. Montgomery. Copyright (c) 2009  John Wiley & Sons, Inc.

5 Distributions Applicable to Reliability
Exponential distribution. Normal distribution. Weibull distribution.

6 Distributions Applicable to Reliability
Reliability Curves: The reliability curves for the exponential, normal and Weibull distributions as a function of time (Shown in the next slide).

7 Frequency f(t) Reliability Rt Failure rate 

8 Distributions Applicable to Reliability
Failure-Rate Curve: It is important in describing the life-history curve of a product.

9 Distributions Applicable to Reliability
The curve, sometimes referred to as the “bathtub” curve, is a comparison of failure rate with time. It has three distinct phases: The debugging phase. The chance failure phase. The wear-out phase.

10 Distributions Applicable to Reliability
Wear Out Phase Chance Failure Phase Debugging Phase “Infant mortality period”

11 Distributions Applicable to Reliability
The debugging phase: It is characterized by marginal and short-life parts that cause a rapid decrease in the failure rate. It may be part of the testing activity prior to shipment for some products. The Weibull distribution ß<1 is used to describe the occurrence of failures.

12 Distributions Applicable to Reliability
The chance failure phase: Failures occur in a random manner due to the constant failure rate. The Exponential and the Weibull distributions β= 1 are best suited to describe this phase. The wear-out phase: Is depicted by a sharp raise in failure rates. The Normal distribution and the Weibull distribution ß >1 are used to describe this phase.

13 Normal Failure Analysis
The Normal distribution for reliability in the wear out phase. R(t): Reliability at time t P(t): Probability of failure or area of the normal curve to the left of time t. Table A.

14 Exponential Failure Analysis
Exponential distribution for reliability in the chance failure phase : Rt = e –t/ө Where: t: Time or cycles. ө: Mean life.

15 Weibull Failure Analysis
Exponential distribution for reliability for all phases Can be used for the debugging phase (ß<1) and the chance failure phase (ß=1). By setting = 1, the Weibull equals the exponential. By setting ß=3.4, the Weibull approximates the Normal. Rt = e –(t/ө)ß Where ß is the Weibull slope.


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