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Corn Ethanol Who Pays? Who Benefits?
By Ken G. Glozer Former White House OMB, SES Career Official Currently, President, OMB Professionals, Inc. Washington D.C. Consulting Firm March 2011
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I. Basic Questions About the Book?
Why was it researched and written ? What content does it contain? Why is the content relevant today? Who is the intended audience? How long did it take to complete?
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Political History (Part I of Book) Taking Full Advantage of Rising Oil Prices!
Carter Administration; Reagan Administration; Bush I Administration; Clinton Administration; Bush II Administration; and Obama Administration
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III. Evaluation (Part 2 of book) Of Ethanol Policy Advocates’ Claims!
Is US energy security strengthened; are US petroleum imports reduced? Is the environment improved? Are federal budget costs reduced? Is the US balance of payments deficit improved? and Is rural employment increased?
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III. Evaluation Continued --Energy Security
US petroleum imports are not significantly reduced! US energy security is not improved; and Domestic corn/ethanol production is not reliable due to weather uncertainty!
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III. Evaluation Continued--Improve the Environment!
GHG emissions compared to gasoline are not reduced; Vehicle tailpipe emissions both increase and decrease depending on the pollutant; Corn production and ethanol plants consume enormous amounts of water; Corn production is a heavy polluter of waterways due to runoff contributing to dead zone (hypoxia) over major area-- Gulf of Mexico; and Overall, environment is degraded not improved.
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III. Evaluation Continued—Are Federal Budget Costs Reduced?
Federal budget costs are estimated to increase substantially under current corn ethanol policy; Main reasons; corn, soybean producer subsidies were reduced but not as much as claimed in the farm bill; and The cost of 45 cent per gallon tax credit for the higher mandated ethanol volumes results in the tax subsidy cost tripling as compared to the period
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III. Evaluation Continued--Is BOP Deficit Reduced?
No because petroleum imports are not reduced.
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III. Evaluation Continued--Is Rural Employment Increased?
Yes, in the ten Midwestern states that produce over 80% of US corn and ethanol production
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IV. Who Pays for the Policy?
Two to three hundred million federal taxpayers and food and gasoline consumers located throughout the U.S.; and The estimated cost is over one half trillion dollars from These costs include an estimated $143.0 billion in increased taxpayer costs and an estimated $363.7 in consumers costs.
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V. Who Benefits? Corn and soybean producers;
Owners of corn and soybean farmland; Ethanol plant owners and workers; and Petroleum refiners and importers.
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VI. Conclusions Corn ethanol advocate’s claim are not true except for rural employment in the 10 Midwestern states; Current policy is costly—over one-half trillion $$$ from ; and Current policy is a wealth transfer policy masquerading as an energy policy!
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VII. Recommendations Let the 45 cent per gallon tax credit expire the end of this year Let the 54 cent per gallon import fee and 2.5% ad valorem tax expire the end of this year. Eliminate the quantitative mandate! Rely on the competitive market!
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