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Effective Personal Financial Planning
Chapter 4
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Topics Time Value of money Simple Interest Compound interest The power of compounding Annuities
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What is Interest? When you borrow Money from someone, or use somebody else’s money You have to pay a rent for using the money This amount is paid back to the lender along with the original amount borrowed This is sometimes known as the cost of Money, which doesn’t belong to you, but you have used it
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What is Interest? This extra amount is called the “INTEREST”
The original amount borrowed is known as the “PRINCIPAL” The sum of both Principal and the interest is known as “AMOUNT” There are basically TWO types of Interest: SIMPLE INTEREST & COMPOUND INTEREST
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Simple Interest Simple Interest rate: Interest= P*r*t Where “P” is Principal, “r” is Interest rate, “t ‘ is the time period Note that “r” is in decimal form, i.e. r %/ 100 Example: If ₹ 1000 is invested for 25 10% p.a., then, Interest= 1000*0.1*25 = ₹ 2500 Amount = Principal + Interest = = ₹ 3500
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Compound interest rate
Interest is added into principal at each compounding period FV= PV (1+r)^ n Where “PV” is the principal, “r” is interest rate, “n” is the time period, “ FV” is the future value, or maturity value Note that “r” is in decimal form, i.e. r %/ 100
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Compound Interest Rate
Example If ₹ 1000 is invested for 3 10% p.a. compounding annually, then Interest for 1st year = 1000 *0.1*1 = 100, so principal at the end of 1st year = = 1100 Interest for 2nd year = 1100*0.1*1 = 110, so principal at the end of the 2nd year = = 1210 Interest for 3rd year = 1210*0.1*1 = 121, so FV = = ₹ 1331 OR Alternatively: FV= 1000*(1+0.1)^3 = ₹ 1331 SIMILARLY, if above is invested for 25 years : FV= 1000*(1+0.1)^25 = ₹ 10,835
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Compounding impact in the long run
₹ 1000 invested at 10% p.a. simple interest in your saving bank account will fetch you ₹3500 after 25 years The same ₹ 1000 invested at 10% p.a. compounded will fetch you ₹ 10,385 after 25 years, more than 3 times more than the bank deposit
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Change in compounding frequency
Compounding Interval The interest can be compounded at different frequencies during the year, e.g. Yearly, Semi annually, quarterly, monthly, etc. Higher the compounding frequency, higher the return on investment
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Change in compounding frequency
Example: ₹ 100 invested for 1 10% p.a. compounding semi annually, what is the return on investment after one year? Interest for 1st semi annual period = 100 *0.1* (6/12) = 5 Principal after 1st Semi Annual period = = 105 Interest at the end of 2nd Semi Annual period = 105*0.1*(6/12) = 5.25 So FV after 1 year = = or effectively a 10.25% return. This return is higher than the stated rate of 10 %
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Change in compounding frequency
Alternatively use the formula as below for taking into account the compounding frequency FV = PV( 1+ r/m)^(m*n), where “m” is the compounding frequency In the previous example FV = 100* ( /2)^ (2*1) = 100*1.05^2 = or 10.25% return
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Nominal and Effective Rate
Nominal Rate It is stated interest rate of a given bond or loan In the previous example, the nominal rate was 10% Effective Rate It is the annual rate that takes the compounding frequency into account In the previous example, the effective rate was 10.25%
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The effect of compounding frequency in the long run
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It is the return on an investment after taking inflation into account
Real Rate of Return It is the return on an investment after taking inflation into account 1 + Interest Rate Real Rate of Return = 1 + Inflation Rate
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Real Rate of Return of Bank FD
Example If bank FD rate is 8% p.a., inflation is 6% p.a. , and the starting balance is ₹ Using the Real rate of Return formula, this example would show Real rate of Return = {(1+0.08)/( )}- 1 = 1.887% With ₹ 1000 starting balance ,then after 1 year, the individual could purchase ₹ of goods based on today’s cost
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Tax adjusted Real Rate of Return of Bank FD
Where Post tax Return = Nominal Return (1- Tax Rate) In the previous example, if tax rate is 20%, the post tax return = 0.08 (1- 0.2)= 6.4% Tax Adjusted Real Rate of return = {(1.064)/(1.06)} -1= 0.377% 1 + Post Tax return 1 + Inflation Rate
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Tax equivalent yield Tax Equivalent yield = Post Tax Return or Tax free return/ (1- Tax Rate) Example: What would be the tax equivalent yield of a 8% tax free bond , the investor falls in the 30% tax category Tax Equivalent yield = 0.08/ (1-0.3) = 11.43%
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Would you prefer to have 1 crore now or 1 crore 10 years from now?
Time Value of Money Would you prefer to have 1 crore now or 1 crore 10 years from now?
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Time Value of Money The value of money changes with change in time.
A rupee received today is more valuable than a rupee received one year later. -Present Value concept (PV concept) -Future or Compounding Value concept (FV concept)
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Reasons for Time Preference of Money
Uncertain future Risk involvement Present needs Return
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Time Value of Money The Terminology of Time Value
Present Value (PV) - An amount of money today, or the current value of a future cash flow Future Value (FV) - An amount of money at some future time period Period (n) - A length of time (often a year, but can be a quarter, month, etc.) Interest Rate (r)- The compensation paid to a lender (or saver) for the use of funds expressed as a percentage for a period (normally expressed as an annual rate)
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Calculation of Future Value (FV)
Future Value of a Single Amount You have Rs.1,000 today and you deposit it with a financial institution, which pays 10 per cent interest compounded annually, for a period of 3 years. What is the total amount after 3 years?
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Formula FV =PV×(1+r)n Where: FV = Future value after n years PV = Present Value (cash today) r = Interest rate per annum n = Number of years for which compounding is done
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Calculating FV via EXCEL
Use Function: FV Input: Rate= 10% Nper= 3 PV= -1000 (outflows are negative) Output: FV=₹ 1,331.00
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Calculation of Present Value
PV =FV / (1+r)n
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What is the meaning of 1 crore received on retirement after 10 years (assume inflation 6%)
Calculating PV using EXCEL: Use Function: PV Input: Rate=6 % Nper= 10 FV= 1 crore Output: PV=₹ 55.4 lacs
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Annuities An Annuity represents a series of equal payments (or receipts) occurring over a specified number of equidistant periods.
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Types of Annuities Ordinary Annuity: Payments or receipts occur at the end of each period. Annuity Due: Payments or receipts occur at the beginning of each period.
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Annuity examples SIP Car Loan Payments Insurance Premiums
Housing Loan EMI Retirement Savings Monthly Pension Salary
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Ordinary Annuity: Example House loan EMI
End of Period 1 End of Period 2 End of Period 3 ₹ ₹ ₹ 100 Today Equal Cash Flows Each 1 Period Apart
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Annuity Due: Example monthly pension
Beginning of Period 1 Beginning of Period 2 Beginning of Period 3 ₹ ₹ ₹ 100 Today Equal Cash Flows Each 1 Period Apart
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In our calculations we will use Annuity Due
For Investments For SIP For insurance premiums For PF and PPF payments For receiving monthly pension IN Excel, T= 1
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Annuity Problems using EXCEL
n = number of payments or rents i = interest rate PMT = Periodic payment (rent) received or paid And either: FV of an annuity = Value in the future of a series of future payments OR PV of an annuity = Value today of a series of payments in the future When we know any three of the four amounts, we can solve for the fourth! 16 14 16 14 16 16 16 16
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If I save ₹ 120,000 per year @ 8.5% for next 25 years, how much would I have in Year 25?
Use FV function N= 25 I = 8.5% or 0.085 PMT = ₹ 1,20,000 T = 1 FV= ? Solve for FV = 102,42, 546 Answer= ₹ 1 crore
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And what would be the meaning of that 1 crore today, assuming inflation is 6 percent
Use PV function N= 25 I = 6% or 0.06 FV = ₹ 1,00,00, 000 T= ignore, use only with PMT PV= ? Solve for PV = 23,29, 988 Answer= ₹ 23.3 lacs
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Another question Shom plans the marriage of his son after 20 years. Today the marriage would cost him 30 lacs. What monthly instalment should he invest from now at 12 %, assuming inflation of expenses at 6%.
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Shom question Solve in 2 steps: Step 1
What is the value of marriage expenses after 20 years? Use function FV N= 20 Inflation. i= 6%, i.e. 0.06 PV= - 30,00,000 FV= ?, Solve FV= 96,21,406
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Step 2 How much should he invest per month starting now, to achieve the goal? Use function PMT N=20*12 periods (monthly) Interest i = 12%/12 (interest per period) FV= 96,21,406 T= 1 (it involves PMT!) PMT= ? Solve for PMT, = per month Shom needs to invest 9630 per month for next 20 years to meet the goal of his son’s marriage
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Recap for STEP 2: Change in compounding frequency
Alternatively use the formula as below for taking into account the compounding frequency FV = PV( 1+ r/m)^(m*n), where “m” is the compounding frequency In the previous example FV = 100* ( /2)^ (2*1) = 100*1.05^2 = or 10.25% return
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Classwork Project 1 of your lumpsum financial goal to the future.
How much would you need to invest on a monthly basis to achieve it
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Home work Project all your financial goals to the future.
How much would you need to invest on a monthly/ yearly basis to achieve them, Calculate amount per goal
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Further reading
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