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Topics 29. Globalization, Corporate Finance, and the Cost of Capital
R. M. Stulz 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Globalization can increase firm value
Nestlé (A Swiss firm) Before November 1988 Bearer shares: Available for both local and foreign investors Registered shares: Available only for local investors Same dividends, same voting rights Registered shares price is only half of the bearer shares price 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Globalization can increase firm value
Nestlé (A Swiss firm) November 17, 1988 Company announced to remove ownership restriction Announcement effect: 36% for registered share and -25% for bearer share 10% in total 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Globalization can increase firm value
12 countries with capital market liberalization (Henry, 2000) Average stock price increases 30% from four months before liberalization announcement to three months after that ADR listing 1.2% - 2.6% around the announcement or listing 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Globalization reduces the cost of capital
CAPM E(Ri) = Rf + bi * [E(Rm) - Rf] E(Ri): Expected return for firm I Rf: Riskfree rate bi: Market beta, which equals Cov(Ri, Rm) / Var(Rm) E(Rm) – Rf: Market risk premium 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Globalization reduces the cost of capital
Local CAPM E(RC) = Rf + bH * [E(RH) - Rf] Global CAPM E(RG) = Rf + bG * [E(RG) - Rf] E(RG) – Rf: Global market risk premium Return of the Morgan Stanley Capital International world index 6.6% annual risk premium from 1970/2 to 1989/5 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Globalization reduces the cost of capital
E(RG) < E(RC) because [E(RG) - Rf] < [E(RH) - Rf] bG < bH 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Globalization reduces the cost of capital A lower market risk premium
[E(RG) - Rf] < [E(RH) - Rf] Determined by risk and risk premium Risk The risk of global portfolio is smaller than the risk of home portfolio Risk premium per unit of risk Determined by investors’ risk attitude The risk will be shared by more people who have different risk attitude 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Globalization reduces the cost of capital
Giorgio de Santis and Bruno Gerard, 1997, International Asset Pricing and Portfolio Diversification with Time-Varying Risk, The Journal of Finance, Vol. 52, No. 5. (Dec., 1997), pp 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Bekaert, Geert; Harvey, Campbell R
Bekaert, Geert; Harvey, Campbell R., 1997, Emerging equity market volatility, Journal of Financial Economics 43: 1, pp 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Globalization reduces the cost of capital A lower market risk premium
[E(RG) - Rf] < [E(RH) - Rf] Global portfolio is less correlated with personal human wealth 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Globalization reduces the cost of capital
2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Globalization reduces the cost of capital A lower market beta
bG < bH Nestlé bG = 0.6, bH = 0.9 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Globalization reduces the cost of capital A lower transaction cost
Transaction cost and cost of capital A lower transaction cost means a lower expected return required by investors Globalization can reduce transaction costs It can increase investor pool It can reduce the probability of insider trading Companies can choose the exchange with the lowest transaction cost 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Globalization can also increase expected cash flows Better governance, stronger monitoring
Reduce information asymmetry Reduce agency costs Asset substitution Underinvestment Overinvestment 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Globalization can also increase expected cash flows Better governance, better monitoring
Board Using foreigners A greater pool of talents Capital market Using outside professionals, e.g., investment banks Global knowledge Higher reputation to protect 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Globalization can also increase expected cash flows Better governance, better monitoring
Legal system Limit on expropriation from major shareholders Class actions Provide mechanism for shareholder monitoring Active shareholders Large shareholders Institutional shareholders 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Institutional investors’ view
Source: McKinsey Global Investor Opinion Survey on Corporate Governance, 2002 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Institutional investors’ view
Source: McKinsey Global Investor Opinion Survey on Corporate Governance, 2002 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Institutional investors’ view
Source: McKinsey Global Investor Opinion Survey on Corporate Governance, 2002 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Institutional investors’ view
Source: McKinsey Global Investor Opinion Survey on Corporate Governance, 2002 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Institutional investors’ view
Source: McKinsey Global Investor Opinion Survey on Corporate Governance, 2002 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Standard and Poor’s criteria
Ownership Structure and External Influences Transparency of Ownership Structure Concentration and Influence of Ownership and External Stakeholders Shareholder Rights and Stakeholder Relations Shareholder Meeting and Voting Procedures Ownership Rights and Takeover Defenses Stakeholder Relations Transparency, Disclosure and Audit Content of Public Disclosure Timing of, and Access to, Public Disclosure The Audit Process Board Structure and Effectiveness Board Structure and Independence Role and Effectiveness of the Board Director and Senior Executive Compensation 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Globalization can also increase expected cash flows Better governance, better monitoring
Market for corporate control Greater competition for control Greater pressure to open the market for control Disclosure Transparency Cross-listing or listing in foreign exchanges can commit to disclose 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Companies need to choose
Globalization can also increase expected cash flows Better governance, better monitoring Companies need to choose Companies that participate global market Companies that do not participate 2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Globalization reduces transaction costs
2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Globalization reduces the cost of capital
2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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Globalization reduces the cost of capital
2018/12/6 Hu - Globalization
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