1. INFORMATION SOCIETY
12/6/2018
M. Gams

2. Three worlds with different properties Intelligent systems - integration of the three
ELECTRONIC WORLD
Collapse of time, space.

3. Definition: information society
Definition: information society
More than 50% of GDP related to information/knowledge.
More than 50% of employees active in the information economy (immaterial labour).
Economy based on transition from material goods to information/knowledge (primary and secondary sector, e.g. OECD 1981, 1986).
IS started ? Constantly growing!
Slovenian growth

4. BASIC I.S. LAWS Moore’s law (exponential growth of chip capabilities)
Makimoto’s law (10-year cycle of semiconductors)
Metcalf’s law: value(network) = square(no. of nodes) or n*logn /Odlyzko (size of network is very important)
Sidgemor’s law (exponential growth of net traffic, capabilities)
Groschs’law (cost equals sq. root (speed))
Amdahl’s law (T=S/R + P/(M*R))
Andreesen Lewis Fleming... net capitalism = frictionless economy, information economy, Internet economy, new economy (global, liberal, without rectrictions, regulations)
Computer Laws revisited, Computer, December 2013, vol. 46, no. 12

5. Laws
mMetcalfe's Law - value of a network is proportional to the square of the number of nodes Moore's Law
Metcalfe's Law - value of a network is proportional to the square of the number of nodes – social networks - Internet
Sidgemore's Law - traffic doubles every three months
Andreesen's Law - cost of bandwidth is dropping
Disk capacity (+electronic basic properties) also grows exponential
Lewis/Flemig's Law - friction-free economy, booming, self-regulating (Greenspan)
Gilder’s Law (The Law of Telecoms) - Total telecommunications system capacity (b/s) triples every three years Put on the Internet all your information and activities FB:mail
The cyber-world doubles fortune (real or fictive?? – current crises)
Side effect of information society is information overload
Information society demands intensive information knowledge for
successful leadership
Information society belongs to all of us
The Internet is the most democratic and free media in the world
The Internet and information society are our hope for the future

6. Za Obamovo zmago odločilen internet; vir Finance 1.6.2009
David Plouffe, vodja digitalne kampanje Baracka Obame, Gradec, maj Nove tehnologije, zlasti internet, so eden glavnih razlogov, da je Obama postal 44. predsednik ZDA.Od začetka kampanje, ko je bila verjetnost za zmago skoraj enaka nič, so veliko tvegali; vedeli so, da nimajo drugega kot odličnega kandidata in jasno vizijo, ob tem pa pravilno ocenili, da je prav tehnologija pot za dosego ciljev. ***Internet kot glavni kanal kampanje so uporabili za zbiranje denarja (pol milijarde dolarjev), promoviranje (3 milijone prijateljev na Facebooku, na desetine profilov na omrežjih), organiziranje in predvsem samoorganiziranje ljudi na terenu ter nenehno pošiljanje sporočil neposredno do ljudi *** ter tako pometli z močnimi tekmeci, ki so kljub veliki prednosti na začetku kampanje igrali "po starih pravilih igre".

7. Moore’s Law
1. Electronic world

8. Saturation – When?

9. Human Generations Generation no. Generation name Main object I.
Agrarian
Food
II.
Industrial
Production
III.
Post-industrial
Services
IV.
Information s.
Information

10. Computer Generations Assistant / AGENTS Generation no. Generation name
Status I.
Machine-level
Slave
II.
Programming
III.
Tools
IV.
Information society
Assistant / AGENTS

11. IS Impact on Humans (Lewis)
Generation name
Duration
Comm. Speed
Agrarian
years
3-5 km/h human
Industrial
30-50 horse, car
Post-industrial
30-50
airplane
Information
30?
network

12. Human Saturation Info clock >> biological clock
Terminal velocity
Conflict between biological and information clock
Humans can’t cope with information overflow
Solution:
WE NEED
INTELLIGENT ASSISTANTS

13. Discussion Information society - technological, human, social
Intelligent systems - SW generation with some degree of intelligence
Intelligence (human, artificial, technical) is essential
True intelligent revolution decades away
Incredible possibilities ahead of us (first technical intelligent systems, later true AI) that may prevent saturation of human civilisation (overcrowded, shortage of oil and recources …) and jump ahead
Kurtzweil : theory of singularity

14. THE FUTURE WILL BE INTELLIGENT