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Moody’s Investor March 11, 2004
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Safe Harbor Provisions
This presentation contains statements that may be considered forward looking statements, such as management’s expectations of future earnings, cash position, sources of funds, coverage ratios, market conditions, customer growth, regulatory action, and the anticipated completion of various projects. These statements speak of the Company’s plans, goals, beliefs, or expectations, refer to estimates or use similar terms. Actual results could differ materially. All forward looking statements included in this presentation are based upon information presently available, and the Company assumes no obligation to update any forward looking statements.
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What is Northeast Utilities Today? (2003 Revenues)
Regulated Companies Unregulated Companies An electricity delivery company… The Connecticut Light and Power Company ($2.7 billion) Western Massachusetts Electric Company ($390 million) A natural gas delivery company… Yankee Gas Services Company ($360 million) An integrated electric company… Public Service Company of New Hampshire ($890 million) A competitive energy marketer… Select Energy, Inc. ($2.15 billion) A competitive electricity producer… Northeast Generation Company ($144 million) A supplier of energy services… Northeast Generation Services ($102 million) Select Energy Services ($150 million)
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A Closer Look At The Regulated Businesses
CL&P Customers: 1,169K Residential 1,058K Commercial 105K Industrial 6K Revenues: $2.7B Employees: 2,300 4,400 Square Miles PSNH Customers: 454K Residential 388K Commercial 63K Industrial 3K Revenues: $890M Employees: 1,240 5,445 Square Miles Yankee Gas Customers: 192K Residential 168K Commercial 22K Industrial 2K Revenues: $360M Employees: 430 1,995 Square Miles WMECO Customers: 205K Residential 185K Commercial 19K Industrial 1K Revenues: $390M Employees: 410 1,490 Square Miles
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ENERGY/GENERATION SERVICES
NU Enterprises Organization MERCHANT ENERGY ENERGY/GENERATION SERVICES
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Enterprise Value = $5.1 billion
EQUITY DEBT Total Debt: $2.7 billion CL&P: $921 million PSNH: $466 million NU Parent: $479 million (minus $250 million cash) NGC: $389 million Yankee Gas: $244 million WMECO: $199 million Market Cap: $2.4 billion NYSE: NU Share Count: 128 million Share Price: $19/share Annualized Dividend: $0.60/share CL&P: $116 million perpetual preferred
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Update on NU’s 2003 Financial Results
EPS 2002 2003 2002 2003 Reported EPS EPS Excluding Significant Items
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2003 Driven by Improved Competitive Business Results
Earnings in Millions CL&P* PSNH/ NAEC Yankee Gas WMECO NUEI Merchant Energy* NUEI Services * Excluding SMD charge
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2003 Year-End Capitalization Ratios
Target 55% NU Consol. CL&P PSNH WMECO Yankee Gas NGC
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NU System Issues Debt in Six Primary Companies
NU Parent $479 million unsecured notes Northeast Generation Co. $69 million amortizing bonds due 2005 $320 million amortizing bonds due 2026 Yankee Gas Services $230 million bonds all privately placed
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NU System Issues Debt in Six Primary Companies
CL&P $198 million taxable bonds $424 million tax-exempt debt $116 million perpetual preferred PSNH $407 million tax-exempt bonds WMECO $54 million tax-exempt notes $55 million taxable notes
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NU Parent Business Profile (Baa1/BBB/BBB)
Business Strategy: Invest equity in regulated subsidiary infrastructure Support competitive energy subsidiaries efforts to solidify place as one of the Northeast’s leading energy marketers Fund above-average dividend growth – current payout ratio about 50 percent Current liquidity: $200 million of cash invested in subsidiaries, money markets $350 million credit line shared with competitive businesses $127 million drawn in cash and letters of credit
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CL&P Business Profile (A2/A-/A-)
Business Strategy: Rebuild aging distribution infrastructure ($900 million investment in approved by regulators) Invest heavily in new transmission facilities to remove Connecticut bottlenecks ($700 million alone for two new lines into southwest Connecticut) Prevented by current statute from reacquiring generation Current Liquidity: $253 million in borrowings from an internal “Money Pool” and accounts receivable facility Nothing borrowed on the unutilized share of the $300 million revolving credit facility Application for $250 million of debt securities to be filed this quarter; first new debt since 1997
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2003 Was Marked By Important Legislation, Regulation
Public Act signed into law June 25 Transitional standard offer took effect January 1, 2004 Rate cap raised 11.1% for 2004 and beyond Procurement fee of 0.5/mill began January 1 Additional 0.25 mill incentive can be earned Could produce $12-$18 million/year of additional revenue Flow through of all energy related and “federally mandated” costs Rate decision effective January 1, 2004 Distribution rates set for four years Transmission rates increased $28 million Distribution ROE of 9.85% Endorsement of $900 distribution capital program
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NU Forecasting Significant Regulated Capital Investment Program
$ Millions - Excluding AFUDC Actual Actual Est. Est. Est. Est. Est.
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CL&P Transmission Business: $1 Billion Investment Forecasted
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Phase I (Bethel to Norwalk) $200 M Phase II (Middletown to Norwalk) $496 M * Siting Process Construction Capital Program $15 M $36 M $66 M $225 M $190 M $160 M $160 M $160 M * CL&P’s 80% share
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PSNH Business Profile (A3/BBB+/BBB+)
Business Strategy: Expand T&D system to meet growing economy Selectively invest in existing regulated generation Current Liquidity: $48 million borrowed from NU Money Pool and from regulated company credit line Application for $50 million first mortgage bond issue will be filed with regulators this quarter; first new debt since 1991
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PSNH Update – Current Items
May 2003: PSNH bought out 14 small QF hydro rate orders for $20 million; net savings of $5 million August 2003: PSNH proposed $70 million conversion of Schiller unit to burn wood (waste) NHPUC decision somewhat disappointing; changes sought December 2004: PSNH closed on Connecticut Valley Electric Co. acquisition $9 million for assets (11,000 customer accounts); $21 million to buy down power contract December 2004: PSNH filed rate case requesting 2.6% ($21 million) increase Hearings in early August Decision will be retroactive to February 2004 February 2004: Energy supply rate rose to 5.36 cents/kwh from 4.6 – cents Based on estimated costs of owned generation and market purchases of power
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WMECO Business Profile (A3/BBB+/BBB+)
Business Strategy: Meet infrastructure needs of modestly growing service territory Address regulatory items that arise in 2005 at end of transition period Current Liquidity: $50 million borrowed from Money Pool and on credit line Application before state regulators to refinance $48 million legacy nuclear fuel obligation; issued $50 million of senior notes in 2003 to reduce short-term debt
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Yankee Gas Business Profile (Baa1/BBB+)
Business Strategy: Expand availability of natural gas in Connecticut Invest in selected projects to expand system Develop regulatory strategy to improve return on equity Current Liquidity: $4 million borrowed from NU Money Pool Short-term debt reduced by $75 million private placement of 4.8% bonds in January 2004
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Distribution Systems Require Increased Investment
$ Millions Distribution Rate Base (Electric and Gas)
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NU Consolidated Summary
Earnings Per Share Projected Regulated Businesses $1.05 $ $1.20 Competitive Businesses $0.25 $ $0.30 Parent Expense ($0.06) ($0.10) Consolidated NU $1.24 $ $1.40 *Excludes SMD cost, accounting charge
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2004 Competitive Business Net Income Preview by Business Line
Total Projected 2004 Net Income $28-$38 Million $4 - $7 million $24 - $31 million Merchant Energy Energy/Generation Services
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What Created Recovery of Competitive Businesses?
Improved portfolio management Resized retail organization Improved realized retail margins Refocused trading as a wholesale support function significantly reducing risk Improved rainfall levels impacting hydroelectric output Improved results from generation assets
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Summary 2004 earnings projection consistent within street consensus
Street range of $1.25 to $1.30 Plans for transmission buildout progressing Recovery of competitive businesses on track Financial and credit profile strong and remains a priority Financings required to buildout regulated companies
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