1. EGYPTIAN REVOLUTION, v.2.0 March 16, 2011
“Dissent is the highest form of patriotism.” Anon.
© 2011: Ahmad F Ghais, Ph.D.

2. EMOTIONAL VIDEO CLIPS http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-HGfFyqJMrk

4. QUESTIONS
Is the Egyptian uprising genuine? What are its underlying causes? Who is behind it? What are its demands? 
Who holds power in Egypt? Who opposes the uprising?
What are its implications for rest of world?
How does it relate to islamist extremism?
What is the Muslim Brotherhood? Terrorist organization?
What is US interest in Egypt? How should US policy adapt to new Egyptian reality?
What are likely outcomes of the uprising?

5. SEMINARS Muslims and Arabs: Origins of Islamist Extremism
Islam, Islamism, fundamentalism, extremism, terrorism?
Muslim/Arab History: Primer for infidels, heathens & unbelievers
Palestine and the Arab/Israeli dispute
Egyptian Revolution, v.2.0

6. AN EGYPTIAN REVOLUTION?
Grassroots movement for democracy
Patriotic, secular
not islamist nor pan-Arab
Unanticipated, long time coming
New e-literate generation
Intelligentsia, disenfranchised, oppressed
Have-nots

7. Lack of civil liberties, rights
CAUSES
Autocratic regime
Political oppression
Lack of civil liberties, rights
Poverty
Lack of opportunity
Corruption

8. DEMANDS Democracy now Mubarak resign Regime change
Constitutional reform
Freedom of information
Bread!

9. POWER IN EGYPT Autocratic constitution Powerful president
Weak parliament
National Democratic Party (NDP)
The military!

11. THE MILITARY Anchors regime since 1952
Privileged officer class, conscripts
Regular police
State Security Police, recruits

12. WHO OPPOSES THE UPRISING?
5000 years of allegiance
The military
NDP
Vested interests: haves vs have-nots
Arab potentates
Israel
USA?

13. IMPLICATIONS Demonstration effect, but local conditions
Opposition to US policy
Islamism
Autocracies: Jordan, Yemen, Syria, Algeria, Saudi, etc.
Camp David Treaty
Diminishes AlQaida’s message

14. MUSLIM BROTHERHOOD Font of Islamist fundamentalism:1928
Promotes social reform
Grassroots: universities, syndicates, have-nots
Opposes: British rule, secularism, US policy
Bred extremists
Outlawed off and on
Renounces violence in ‘70s
Terrorist or patriotic?

15. US INTERESTS “War on Terror” Pathway to Iraq and Afghanistan
Access to oil
Israel’s security
Ideals: liberty, justice, human rights

16. ECHOES OF AMERICA Declaration of Independence; Bill of Rights
Tea parties 1 and 2
“Give me liberty, or give me death”
Civil disobedience: “We shall overcome”
Circling the wagons

17. BACKGROUND: OBAMA’S SPEECH

18. US POLICY US aid: military, civilian Military ties
“Orderly transition”
Muddled, short-sighted, hypocritical
The devil you know? “Our SOB”
Living up to our ideals
“Bug out”

20. OUTCOMES Is Egypt ready for democracy?
Mubarak is finished; is regime finished?
Muddle along: Military remain king-makers
Best case: secular, inclusive governance
Back to barracks
Worst case: Rise of islamist extremism
Irrelevancies: Israel, Iran