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current status and plans
The T3L3 experiment; current status and plans Sander Houweling (SRON/IMAU) Stefan Körner (BGC-Jena) All participants
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Aim of the experiment What other factors, besides transport model
differences,limit the robustness of CO2 inversions? (…. optimization method, boundary conditions) How important are these factors?
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Experimental outline Inversion 1: Reproduce a very simple bayesian
set-up (same methods, same bound. cond.) Inversion 2: as 1 using own preferred method (different methods, same bound. cond.) Inversion 3: as 2 using own data & assumptions (different methods, different bound. cond.)
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Who participated? JMA-CDTM; Maki; change Globalview - WDCGG
LMDZ; Carouge; 35 regions, 21 additional stations MATCH; Law; mass-balance inversion MATCH; Law; 116 region inversion NIES; Patra; 64 regions NIRE; Taguchi; Actual meteorology TM3; Roedenbeck/Houweling; 730 regions +covar
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Problems … Inversion 2 / 3 not purely separated
Sometimes only one of both submitted Some inversions are perturbations of T3L2
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Inversion 1 against reference
South America Tropical Ref. Subm.
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Inversion 1 against reference
North America Boreal Ref. Subm.
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Example of Inv1, Inv2, Inv3 Eurasia Temperate Inv 1:
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Example of Inv1, Inv2, Inv3 Eurasia Temperate Inv 2:
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Example of Inv1, Inv2, Inv3 Eurasia Temperate Inv 3:
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Offset corrected & larger scales …
NH. Extra Tropics Inv 1:
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Offset corrected & larger scales …
NH. Extra Tropics Inv 2:
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Offset corrected & larger scales …
NH. Extra Tropics Inv 3:
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Even larger … All Continents Inv 1:
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Even larger … All Continents Inv 2:
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Even larger … All Continents Inv 3:
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Long-term means Tropics Continents Oceans Globe NH-ex.trop SH-ex.trop.
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Long-term trend Tropics Continents Oceans Globe NH-ex.trop SH-ex.trop.
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Correlation of AIV N. Atlantic Temp. Ind. Trop. Ocean Europe
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Conclusions ‘robust’ AIV looses some robustness in T3L3
- The role of method/boundary conditions not yet clear - Only the largest scales remain rather robust Long/term mean en trend seem less affected by methodology Inversions remain robust regarding e.g.: Correlation El-Nino, Pinatubo Continental sink temperate N.H. Less then Takahashi uptake in the Southern Ocean
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How to proceed? Further study of the difference between inv 2, inv 3
doesn’t look promising right now… Archive of state of the art inversions in comparable format still relevant!
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