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current status and plans

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1 current status and plans
The T3L3 experiment; current status and plans Sander Houweling (SRON/IMAU) Stefan Körner (BGC-Jena) All participants

2 Aim of the experiment What other factors, besides transport model
differences,limit the robustness of CO2 inversions? (…. optimization method, boundary conditions) How important are these factors?

3 Experimental outline Inversion 1: Reproduce a very simple bayesian
set-up (same methods, same bound. cond.) Inversion 2: as 1 using own preferred method (different methods, same bound. cond.) Inversion 3: as 2 using own data & assumptions (different methods, different bound. cond.)

4 Who participated? JMA-CDTM; Maki; change Globalview - WDCGG
LMDZ; Carouge; 35 regions, 21 additional stations MATCH; Law; mass-balance inversion MATCH; Law; 116 region inversion NIES; Patra; 64 regions NIRE; Taguchi; Actual meteorology TM3; Roedenbeck/Houweling; 730 regions +covar

5 Problems … Inversion 2 / 3 not purely separated
Sometimes only one of both submitted Some inversions are perturbations of T3L2

6 Inversion 1 against reference
South America Tropical Ref. Subm.

7 Inversion 1 against reference
North America Boreal Ref. Subm.

8 Example of Inv1, Inv2, Inv3 Eurasia Temperate Inv 1:

9 Example of Inv1, Inv2, Inv3 Eurasia Temperate Inv 2:

10 Example of Inv1, Inv2, Inv3 Eurasia Temperate Inv 3:

11 Offset corrected & larger scales …
NH. Extra Tropics Inv 1:

12 Offset corrected & larger scales …
NH. Extra Tropics Inv 2:

13 Offset corrected & larger scales …
NH. Extra Tropics Inv 3:

14 Even larger … All Continents Inv 1:

15 Even larger … All Continents Inv 2:

16 Even larger … All Continents Inv 3:

17 Long-term means Tropics Continents Oceans Globe NH-ex.trop SH-ex.trop.

18 Long-term trend Tropics Continents Oceans Globe NH-ex.trop SH-ex.trop.

19 Correlation of AIV N. Atlantic Temp. Ind. Trop. Ocean Europe

20 Conclusions ‘robust’ AIV looses some robustness in T3L3
- The role of method/boundary conditions not yet clear - Only the largest scales remain rather robust Long/term mean en trend seem less affected by methodology Inversions remain robust regarding e.g.: Correlation El-Nino, Pinatubo Continental sink temperate N.H. Less then Takahashi uptake in the Southern Ocean

21 How to proceed? Further study of the difference between inv 2, inv 3
doesn’t look promising right now… Archive of state of the art inversions in comparable format still relevant!


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