1. FY13 Budget and Caseload Update Fiscal Committee November 5, 2012

2. FY13 Caseload Overview
Income Eligible: The Income Eligible account full year forecast is projecting a surplus of $11.6M which is approximately $900K more than last month’s projected surplus of $10.7M. The increase in surplus is driven by caseload actuals for September being less than projected. The forecast includes the Infant/Toddler Rate increase for providers who are self-assessed at QRIS level 2 or above (approximately 37%). The financial impact is projected to be $1.1M. The forecast includes growth for the number of providers reaching QRIS Level 2 or above in subsequent months. The forecast includes Summer-Only care for 779 children for June After reducing the current surplus by the forecasted DTA deficit ($3.5M), and adding the anticipated DCF surplus, the overall surplus in the caseload accounts is approximately $8.7M.
DTA-Related Caseload: The forecasted deficit stays flat at $3.5M.
Supportive: The projected deficit of $54K last month has shifted to a surplus of $600K. Contract slots continue to remain open impacting the change in forecast. Ongoing discussions with DCF indicate an effort to fill open slots.

3. FY13 Caseload Overview Summary As of September 2012

4. FY13 Caseload Overview Summary As of September 2012

5. FY 2012 Income Eligible ( )

6. FY 2013 DTA Related ( )

7. FY 2012 Supportive ( )

8. FY2013 Income Eligible Total Caseload Actual/Forecast & Budgeted Expenditures
(Amount in Thousands)
Blue: Actual/Forecast Expenditures
Gray : FY13 Appropriation (Vouchers, Contracts & Grants)
Total Appropriation of $231.9M includes $9,019,276 for Grants and $600K Reserve for Late Billing
September 2012 Voucher Expenditures paid is $6,804,828
Actual/Forecast includes projected cost for Infant Toddler Rate Increase

9. FY2013 DTA Caseload Actual/Forecast & Budgeted Expenditures
(Amount in Thousands)
Blue: Actual/Forecast Expenditures
Gray : FY13 Appropriation

10. FY2013 Supportive Caseload Actual/Forecast & Budgeted Expenditures
(Amount in Thousands)
Blue: Actual/Forecast Expenditures
Gray : : FY13 Appropriation

11. FY12/13 Contract Slots - Regular and Flex
Total Awarded Slots is and Allowable Flex Slots is 857
28 Providers representing 31 contracts are Over 5% Flex (309)
**No. of children filling slots may be greater than slots awarded.

12. Caseload Waitlist Since 8/2011
*Waitlist Data as of August 2011 is reported from KinderWait
** Excludes Unborn children, Children 13 or older, “0” zip codes and towns out of state.