1. INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT
FOCRA II OUTLOOK
A K SRIVASTAVA
INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT

2. In Asia, China has been coordinating an RCOF called Forum on Regional Climate Monitoring, Assessment and Prediction for Regional Association II, Asia (FOCRAII) since 2005, covering the entire continent
Thus the recent FOCRA II (held at Beijing during 6-8 April) was the sixth meet

3. Participants Countries
China, Japan, Korea, DPR Korea
Mongolia. Kazakhstan, Russia
Laos, Macao
Pakistan, Maldives, India

4. Institute Representation
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting : Dr. Tim Stockdale
Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory/NOAA
Princeton University: Ngar-Cheung Lau
International Research Institute for Climate and
Society, Columbia University : Liqiang Sun
Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba, Japan : Akio KITOH

5. NOAA Climate Prediction Centre: SongYang
University of Hawaii : Fie-Fie Jin
Hadley Centre : Anca Brookshaw
Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique
(LMD)‏ Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace (IPSL),
CNRS/UPMC-Paris : Laurent Z.X. Li

6. In the forum, experts and participants
discussed regarding evolution and likely
future behaviour of different global
forcing/tele-connection and its impact on the
EASM and Summer Monsoon over the
South Asia.

7. Finally based on input forecasts, consensus
Outlook for temperature and precipitation
for the coming monsoon season was issued
and which is summarized in next slide.

8. Summary of the outlook SEAM rainfall is likely to be below normal and
Onset may also be delayed (due to above normal
snow, negative AO, +ve SST anomalies, stronger
NW Pacific Anticyclone, weaker TEJ )
Summer monsoon rainfall over the South Asia is
likely to be normal. Over India more rain over the
southern parts.
Temperature is likely be normal/above
normal over most part of the Asia

9. Thank
You