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Quantitative Methods in HPELS HPELS 6210
Single-Sample T-Test Quantitative Methods in HPELS HPELS 6210
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Agenda Introduction The t Statistic
Hypothesis Tests with Single-Sample t Test Instat Assumptions
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Introduction Recall Inferential statistics:
Use the sample to approximate population Answer probability questions about H0 Z-score one example of an inferential statistic Must have information about the population standard deviation!
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Introduction The Problem with Z-Scores:
In most cases, the population standard deviation is unknown In these cases, an alternative statistic is required in order to test a hypothesis
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Agenda Introduction The t Statistic
Hypothesis Tests with Single-Sample t Test Instat Assumptions
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The t Statistic Estimation of the Standard Error (M): Recall:
Population SD is unknown SEM must be estimated with information from the sample only Recall: Sample variance = s2 = SS / n-1 = SS / df Sample SD = s = √SS / n-1 = √SS / df Therefore: Estimated SEM = sM = s / √n = √s2 / n
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The t Statistic Calculation of the single-sample t-test:
Formula similar Z-score however SEM (M) estimated SEM (sM): t = M - µ / sM t = M - µ / √s2 / n Degrees of Freedom: Similar to Z-score, only n-1 values are free to vary As sample size increases: Estimated SEM (sM) more accurate representation of SEM (M) t statistic more accurate representation of Z
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The t Distribution Recall Z distribution
With infinite samples, the sampling distribution: Approaches normal distribution µ = µM This is also true for the t distribution.
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The t Distribution The shape of the t distribution:
Changes as df changes A “family” of t distributions exists Distribution more normal as df increases (Figure 9.1, p 284) Characteristics of a t distribution: Symmetrical and bell-shaped µ = 0
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Normal distribution has less variability than the t distribution
Why?
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The t Distribution Z distribution SEM is calculated and is therefore constant t distribution SEM is estimated and is therefore variable As df increases: Estimated SEM (sM) resembles SEM (M)
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Agenda Introduction The t Statistic
Hypothesis Tests with Single-Sample t Test Instat Assumptions
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Hypothesis Test: Single-Sample t-Test
Example 9.1 (p 288) Overview: Direct eye contact is avoided by many animals Moths have developed large eye-spot patterns to ward off predators Researchers want to test the effect of exposure to eye-spot patterns on the behavior of moth-eating birds Birds are put in a room (60-min) with two chambers, separated by a doorway (Figure 9.4, p 289) If no effect equal time in each chamber (Figure 9.3, p 287)
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Hypothesis Test: Single-Sample t-Test
Recall General Process: State hypotheses Set criteria for decision making Sample data and calculate statistic Make decision
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Assume: n = 16 M = 39 minutes SS = 540 = ? use the t-test Step 1: State Hypotheses H0: µplainside = 30 minutes H1: µplainside ≠ 30 minutes Step 2: Set Criteria for Decision Alpha (a) = 0.05 Critical value?
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1st Column: df = n – 1 1st Row: Proportion located in either tail 2nd Row: Proportion located in both tails Body: The critical t-values specific to df and alpha 1st Column: df = 16 – 1 = 15 1st Row: Ignore 2nd Row: 0.05 (alpha) Body: ?
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0.05 15 2.131
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What would the distribution look like if df were larger?
Step 3: Calculate Statistic Variance (s2) s2 = SS/df s2 = 540/15 s2 = 36 Step 3: Calculate Statistic SEM (sM) sM = √s2 / n sM = √36 / 16 = √2.25 sM = 1.50 Step 3: Calculate Statistic t statistic t = M - µ / sM t = 39 – 30 / 1.5 = 9 / 1.5 t = 6.0 Step 4: Make a Decision t = 6.0 > Accept or Reject?
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Confirmation of decision
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One-Tailed Single-Sample t-Test Example
Example 9.4 (p 297) Overview: Researchers are still interested in the effect of eye-spot patterns on bird behavior Based on prior knowledge researchers assume birds will spend less time with eye-spot patterns Therefore a directional (one-tailed test) will be used
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Step 2: Set Criteria for Decision
Alpha (a) = 0.05 Critical value?
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0.05 15 1.753
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Step 3: Calculate Statistic
Same as last example t = 6.0 Step 4: Make Decision t = 6.0 > 1.753 Accept or Reject?
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Agenda Introduction The t Statistic
Hypothesis Tests with Single-Sample t Test Instat Assumptions
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Instat Type data from sample into a column. Choose “Statistics”
Label column appropriately. Choose “Manage” Choose “Column Properties” Choose “Name” Choose “Statistics” Choose “Simple Models” Choose “Normal, One Sample” Layout Menu: Choose “Single Data Column”
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Instat Data Column Menu: Parameter Menu: Confidence Level:
Choose variable of interest Parameter Menu: Choose “Mean (t-interval)” Confidence Level: 90% = alpha 0.10 95% = alpha 0.05
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Instat Check “Significance Test” box:
Check “Two-Sided” if using non-directional hypothesis. Enter value from null hypothesis. What population value are you basing your sample comparison? Click OK. Interpret the p-value!!!
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Reporting t-Test Results
How to report the results of a t-test: Information to include: Value of the t statistic Degrees of freedom (n – 1) p-value Example: The average IQ of Black Hawk County 6th graders was significantly greater than 75 (t(100) = 2.55, p = 0.02)
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Agenda Introduction The t Statistic
Hypothesis Tests with Single-Sample t Test Instat Assumptions
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Assumptions of Single-Sample t-Test
Independent Observations: Random selection Normal Distribution: Tenable if the population is normal If unsure about population assume normality if sample is large (n > 30) If the sample is small and unsure about population assume normality if the sample is normal Tests are also available Scale of Measurement Interval or ratio
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Violation of Assumptions
Nonparametric Version Chi-Square Goodness of Fit Test (Chapter 17) When to use the Chi-Square Goodness of Fit Test: Scale of measurement assumption violation: Nominal or ordinal data Normality assumption violation: Regardless of scale of measurement
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Textbook Assignment Problems: 3, 11, 23, 27
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