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Multi-modal Bi-criterion Highway Assignment for Toll Roads Jian Zhang Andres Rabinowicz Jonathan Brandon Caliper Corporation 5-9-2007 12/9/2018.

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Presentation on theme: "Multi-modal Bi-criterion Highway Assignment for Toll Roads Jian Zhang Andres Rabinowicz Jonathan Brandon Caliper Corporation 5-9-2007 12/9/2018."— Presentation transcript:

1 Multi-modal Bi-criterion Highway Assignment for Toll Roads Jian Zhang Andres Rabinowicz Jonathan Brandon Caliper Corporation 12/9/2018

2 Traditional Traffic Assignment
Assuming uniformity among users’: Access to network Link cost function (VDF) Value of time (VOT) Out-of-pocket cost 2

3 Advantages of MMA (multi-modal assignment)
Simulating user variety in: Vehicle type (car,bus,light / heavy trucks, etc.) Occupancy(HOV,LOV) Driver characteristics (cost or time sensitive) Class-specific VOT’s 3

4 Advantages of MMA Simulating vehicle-type-specific network accessibility: Lane usage (HOV, HOT) Height/Weight limits Toll charge Access to network status info. 4

5 MMA Model Analysis Standardized volume standardized volume :
vak — total PCE on link a for type k αk — PCE conversion factor for type k Cost function based on standardized volume : cak — cost for type k (e.g. toll payment) βk — VOT for type k 5

6 T2 Traffic Assignment Model
Developed by Robert Dial, features include: VOT as a random variable in calculating link cost: P — path,α— random VOT variable with known probability density Bi-criterion multiple path building Fast path calculation using “Efficient Frontier” One user class (|K|=1) 6

7 New MMA-T2 Model Combining MMA and T2: Multiple user classes
VOT of each user class as a random variable with its unique mean and distribution Bi-criterion multiple path building for each user type 7

8 MMA-T2 Model Advantages
Representing various user income levels Considering VOT variation within each user group Allowing more realistic simulation of user response to different highway toll policies. 8

9 MMA-T2 Model Structure (variational inequality )
9

10 MMA-T2 Model Solution Model Solution Equilibrium Conditions:
gpk — travel cost on path p for type k uwk — min. travel cost between w-th OD pair for type k fpk — type k volume on path p Note: Only min.-cost paths have flow, which satisfies multi-modal traffic assignment equilibrium condition 10

11 MMA-T2 Model Solution Algorithm
Step 0: Initialization: do non-equilibrium T2 assignment for each user type Step 1: Renew link times Step 2: Conduct non-equilibrium T2 assignment for each user type based on new link times so as to get auxiliary link flows. Step 3: Compute step size and combine current and auxiliary link flows (MSA) Step 4: Check convergence. Stop if converged, otherwise go to Step 1 11

12 Example 1: Network Capacity and Free-flow Speed
Free-flow Time and Cost 12

13 Example 1: Users VOT Probability Density O-D Demand 13

14 Example 1: Results Class 1 Flows Class 2 Flows Class 3 Flows
Total Flows 14

15 Example 2: Network Mass. Highway Network (5627 links, 2025 nodes, 106 toll links) 15

16 Example 2: User Demands Classes : Car, Light Truck, Heavy Truck
# of O-D pairs = 19,460 Total demand = 416,426 (70%, 23%, 7%) 16

17 Example 2: Toll Scenarios
Original Toll Matrices Toll Scenarios : 1 – original 2 – original * 2 3 – original * 3 4 – original * 4 17

18 Example 2: User VOT Distribution Scenarios
SD = 5 SD = 10 SD = 15 Pearson Type III Distribution Means: Car = 20, Light Truck = 40, Heavy Truck = 60 ($/hr) 18

19 Example 2 Result: Toll Road Usages
19

20 Example 2 Results: Average Trip Time
20

21 Observations When toll charge is high, MMA model tends to underestimate toll road usages than predicted by MMA-T2 model When toll charge is high, MMA model tends to overestimate average trip times than forecast by MMA-T2 model As user VOT distributions become wider, toll road usages increase and average trip times drop 21

22 Conclusion MMA-T2 model has the advantages of both MMA and T2 (bi-criterion multi-path building, multi-user-class specifications, etc.) The new model is able to capture heterogeneous users’ response to toll charges for a more accurate evaluation of different toll scenarios 22

23 Thanks! 23


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