1. TOPICS RELATED TO CHANGE August 2018
Robin Matthews
Professor Emeritus
Kingston University Business School London
JM Keynes Professor of Management
RANEPA Moscow
Further papers by robin Matthews can be found at
Also and

2. (current system state) T
Past
Future
upside
System state
possible futures
possible causes
probable futures
Probable causes
possible causes
possible futures
Now
(current system state) T
downside
robindcmatthews.com

3. Evolution and change TYPES OF SYSTEM CHANGE TTYPES OF ypest Random
Change refers to the transition between one system state and another. Evolution is change directed by processes of natural selection and random mutation
TTYPES OF ypest
Random
no pattern
Normal distribution
Bell shaped or approximately so
Fat tailed distributions
change on all scales possible; Black Swans
Deterministic
predictable iff information perfect
Chaotic
Deterministic but SDIC
Catastrophic
Singularity and great extinctions
Self ordered criticality
Attraction to tipping points; major (phase) transitions.
TYPES OF SYSTEM CHANGE
change
Evolution
12/9/2018

4. Some issues to consider
Grenfell Tower
Me Too Movement
Global Warming
Path Dependence
Black Swans
Singularity
Law of accelerating change
Artificial Intelligence
Interaction between financial and non financial sectors
Restructuring
Competitive landscapes
Development and poverty

6. META MODEL INNER DYNAMICS DYNAMICS GRAMMAR OUTER DYNAMICSOUTER PAYOFFS
Mandala
robindcmatthews.com

7. organization grammar
conceptual
Action
12/9/2018
robindcmatthews.com

9. Fractal images source http://www.google.com/images/sdsc.edu

10. The internet P(k) ≈ Ck – α Many connections Low frequency
𝑃(𝑘)​ ​=​  𝐶 𝑘 𝛼
The diagram illustrates the inverse relationship between the degree of connectivity P(k)
and the number of websites
(k)
Few connections high frequency
The internet
robindcmatthews.com

12. THE FUTURE (outer dynamics) 1. What is the future outlook and 2
THE FUTURE (outer dynamics) 1.What is the future outlook and 2. What are the risks for business? Use the diagram below in your presentation
robindcmatthews.com