1. Current activities WG2-SG3 Urban Emissions and Projections
FAIRMODE
Current activities WG2-SG3
Urban Emissions and Projections
Kjeller, 14th September 2010
Rafael Borge and Julio Lumbreras

2. SG3 objectives
To identify and minimize errors and uncertainties involved in emissions and scenarios used in air quality models
To provide guidelines or suggestions that may help to reach the model quality objectives (MQO)
To discuss specific issues related to scenario development
Make use of relevant information from existing procedures, projects and working groups, i.e. TFEIP-EMEP/EEA air pollutant emission inventory book

3. General approach A. Analysis of standards and methodologies
B. Estimation of uncertainties in emission inventories
E. Particular requirements of emission scenarios
Directive 2008/50/EC (AQD)
C. Estimation of uncertainties in emission scenarios
D. Estimation of uncertainties in emissions and emission projections preparation for modelling
F. Suggestion of standards / guidelines for the AQD

4. Outcome of the 2nd FAIRMODE plenary meeting:
Urban emission compilation is a key issue at European level
Emission Inventories and Scenarios  Urban Emissions and Projections
Both guidance and relevant exchange fora are needed
Links to TFEIP/EIONET, GEIA, JRC-EDGAR and other SG
Funding issues
SG3 deliverable for 2010: Background document on the emission needs at local scale
First draft available at FAIRMODE website (SG3_background_document_sep10_draft.pdf)

5.   Introduction and scope Role of AQM in the AQ Directive
Need and importance of different type of emission/projections
Focus on the urban scale  ?

6. 2. Background
Emission Inventory requirements for AQ modelling:
Accuracy
Spatial allocation
Temporal allocation
Chemical speciation
Review of recent/ongoing activities
Substantial knowledge / guidance (GHG mainly)
Lack of general references / methods

7. 3. Key issues for urban emission inventories (emission repressentativity)
Methodology, transparency
Harmonization and checks
Completeness
Approach to key sectors
Adequate for AQM/application requirements
Spatial and temporal resolution
Uncertainty
Documentation

8. - Scenarios and emission projections
Consistency with the emission inventory
Scenarios
P&M consistency and uncertainty
Documentation
NO emissions. Baseline Vs Policy

9. Emission-related model quality objectives (MQO)
Next steps:
Formalization of the analysis / suggestions made during the first year of the subgroup
Incorporation of the subgroup outputs in the review process of the AQD (horizon 2013)?
Check-lists
Benchmarks
Best practices
Emission-related model quality objectives (MQO)

10. Agenda for parallel session
1.-SG3 introductions and aims of the meeting
2.- Feedback on recent meetings:
a) FAIRMODE session at HARMO-13
b) NIAM meeting Laxemburg/IIASA
c) PEP meeting Larnaca
3.- Update on expert contributions
4.- Discussion on draft guidelines for urban inventories and projections
5.- Define work plan
6.- Any other business

11. rborge@etsii.upm.es jlumbreras@etsii.upm.es
Thank you for your attention! 11