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Course Intro & Overview
University of Alaska-Anchorage * College of Business & Public Policy * Marketing Management Simulation * Course Intro & Overview
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ejforrest@ uaa.alaska.edu
Professor Ed Forrest Telephone: (cell) uaa.alaska.edu
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Overview: Market Structure & Demand * Segment Positioning & $Value
Overview: of Course Organize Companies/ Register w/ Capstone Overview: Market Structure & Demand * Segment Positioning & $Value Overview: Financial Situation Analysis
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Your “study” of business … piece-meal & in isolation!
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Marketing R&D HR Production Finance
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Lecture-Learning
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Learning & Retention 5% 75+%
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THE CAPSTONE SIMULATION
Most widely used Business – Simulation Program in the World Adopted by major Fortune 500 companies ..General Motors, General Electric, Honeywell, Dell, John Deere, Citibank, Alcoa, BP, Allstate, Samsung, Goldman Sachs, Microsoft…
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Strategic Thinking the ten big ideas
Simulation proffers you opportunity to experience every key dimension of strategic thinking developed to date: Strategic Thinking the ten big ideas
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Economic Environment No outside competitors or product substitutes
Moderate growth, Low inflation, Averaged interest rates No outside competitors or product substitutes No economic downturns or other surprises ...
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Sim designed this way for one reason:
Whatever happens will be result of your-tactical execution of strategies… not by external factors!
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You Da’ Boss … run a $100M business ….
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Your Product Line: SENSORS:
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YOUR JOB: Make every decision In every Functional Domain
to create, produce & successfully market your products…
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…success contingent on strategic integration of decisions across all domains:
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You will Compete against other members of this class –running 5 other Corp’s ….
Andrews Baldwin Chester Digby Erie Ferris
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Plus-- You will Compete Against Everyone Else in the World
...your decisions & performance will be compared against other teams competing at other universities… around the world
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& How –to date-- have we fared in this World-Wide Competition??
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Spring 2016 1st & 6th in ROA 3rd & 4th in profit;
8th & 9th cum profit, 5th ROE; 4th & 8th ROS; 5th in Stock Price 4th in Asset Turnover
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#1 Fall 2014 Profit for Round 8 - Mean - $ 16,856,185
Top Ten Active Teams Professor School/Course Simid Team Value 1 Edward Forrest University of Alaska-Anchorage - Main Management Simulation C65883 Chester $ 179,894,270 2 Montchai Pinitjitsamut Kasetsart University - Main AgStrategy1 C63414 Erie $ 150,718,034 3 Erin Nelson DePaul University - Main GSB 599 C66845 $ 117,376,727 4 Veer Mehta Great Lakes PGPM - Main Great Lakes PGPM C66539 $ 102,062,415 5 Michael Stoica Washburn University - Main Strategic Analysis C66272 Baldwin $ 100,603,573 6 Vasant Sivaraman S.P. Jain Institute of Management and Research - Main Decision Analysis (Business Simulation)- C C65322 $ 99,817,375 7 Igor Gvozdanovic Zagreb School of Economics and Management - Main Maximizing and Measuring Corporate Value_CAPSTONE C67613 Andrews $ 97,578,131 8 IIM Shillong - Main IIM Shillong C61259 $ 97,216,158 9 $ 96,520,602 10 Dharam Pal BIMTECH India - Main BIMTECH India C65546 $ 95,719,172
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As Well As….previous “Top 10” Finishes :
Spring : th Profit Spring : th Cum Profit Fall : st Profit Spring : th Cum Profit & 8th Profit Spring : rd Profit Fall : st Cum Profit & Stock Price Spring : th Asset Turnover; 1st, 6th & 8th ROE Fall : th Cum Profit Spring : rd & 9th ROE; 8th ROS; 9th Cum Profit Fall : 4 in & # 10 in profit #5 in Stock Price #6 in ROE #3 & #7 in ROA #8 in Asset Turnover
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You are now the Captain…
... How’s your Company doing?
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The Big Picture Company Consumers Competitors Conditions
Situation/SWOT Analysis Strategic Planning Functional Integration Performance Assessment Company Consumers Competitors Conditions PEST Growth & Competitive Strategies Finance HR Production R&D Marketing Functional Integration Profits Mrkt Share ROA ROS ROE Asset T/O Stock Mrkt Cap
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1st Organize Companies
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Leaders responsible for assuring strategy links values & vision ...
Strategic Thinking- the ten big ideas Prof Thomas/ Penn St. able to predict final standings w/in 1 place 90% of time –after observing initial group interaction... 7. Corporate culture & 8. Leadership craft... Leaders responsible for assuring strategy links values & vision ...
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Overview: Market Structure & Demand * Segment Positioning & $Value
Overview: of Course Organize Companies/ Register w/ Capstone Overview: Market Structure & Demand * Segment Positioning & $Value
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Strategic Plan Answers 3 Critical Q’s:
1.Where are we now? 2.Where do we want to go 3.How do we get there? = Situation Analysis
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Market Segments: Big, old & cheap high-reliability & performance
proven sensors w/ current tech advanced sensors w/ focus on small size cutting-edge in both size & performance
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Consumer Buying Criteria
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5 SEGMENTS
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DEMAND ANALYSIS: How Many Sensors / Segment want to buy across next 8 years:
Multiply the Round 0 demand by the growth rate and add the result to the Round 0 demand. This will give you a close approximation of Round 1 demand. Copy this number into the Demand cell for Round 1. If you prefer, you can use the following shortcut. For example, assume the Traditional growth rate is 9.2%. Convert the percentage to a decimal (9.2% = 0.092) and add 1 to it (1.092). Multiply the Round 0 Traditional demand by then round to the nearest whole number. This will give you a close approximation of Total Industry Demand for Round 1.
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SENSOR INDUSTRY ONGOING GROWTH
..the entire market growing at around % per year.
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Complete Demand Analysis @ CapSim
Intro | Perceptual Map 1 | Perceptual Map 2 | Demand Analysis | Capacity Analysis | Margin Analysis | Consumer Report
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Drift Demo Cheaper too-$.50 drop in price/year Cheaper too-$.50 drop
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MARKET SEGMENT DYNAMICS
Intro | Perceptual Map 1 | Perceptual Map 2 | Demand Analysis | Capacity Analysis | Margin Analysis | Consumer Report Calculate each Segment's IDEAL SPOT LOCATION -- rounds 1 thru 8 Getting Started/ Complete Online Situation Analysis/ Perceptual Map 2)
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MARKET SEGMENT VALUE Herein- is an example of relative dollar value of each segment at present (year 0) and 5 years out.
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Questions?
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