1. Recent Global Sea Level Rise Estimates
Data:
Church and White (2006)
Scenarios 2100:
50 – 140 cm (Rahmstorf 2007)
55 – 110 cm (“high end”, Delta Committee 2008)
Scenarios 2200:
150 – 350 cm (“high end”, Delta Committee 2008)
Scenarios 2300:
250 – 510 cm (German Advisory Council on
Global Change, WBGU, 2006)
WBGU
Delta Comm.
This graph shows several recent estimates for global sea level rise, presented here relative to the 1990 level.
Please refer to the original publications for the various assumptions underlying these scenarios!
The full references are:
Church, J.A. and N.J. White, 2006: A 20th century acceleration in global sea-level rise. Geophysical Research Letters 33(1): p. L01602.
Rahmstorf, S., 2008: A semi-empirical approach to projecting future sea-level rise. Science 315(5810): p
Vellinga, P. et al. 2008: Exploring high-end climate change scenarios for flood protection of the Netherlands. International Scientific Assessment
Carried out at request of the Delta Committee. See
WBGU - Wissenschaftlicher Beirat Globale Umweltveränderungen, 2006: The Future Oceans - Warming Up, Rising High, Turning Sour. Berlin, 110 pp. Available at
Rahmstorf
Data