2. Revised Monsoon 2015 Forecast

3. 98% OF LPA (+/-4%) NORMAL JUNE THROUGH SEPTEMBER (LPA = 887mm)

4. PROBABALITY OF MONSOON

5. EXPECTED NORMAL VS FORECAST
289
261
240
236*
189
194
LPA
173
164
Forecast
* Figures till 30th July

6. MONSOON SPATIAL VARIABILITY JUNE (OBSERVED)
Rainfall Departure: +16%
Country as a whole received good amount of rainfall.

7. MONSOON SPATIAL VARIABILITY JUNE TO JULY (OBSERVED)
Rainfall Departure: -4%
Marathwada, parts of Madhya Maharashtra, North Interior Karnataka and Rayalseema are in deficit category.

8. MONSOON SPATIAL VARIABILITY JUNE TO AUGUST
Poor Signal
Rainfall Departure: -6%
First fortnight of August is going to get good rainfall. Marathwada, parts of Madhya Maharashtra, North Interior Karnataka and Rayalseema are at risk.
Poor Signal

9. MONSOON SPATIAL VARIABILITY JUNE TO SEPTEMBER
Poor Signal
Rainfall Departure: -2%
Marathwada, parts of Madhya Maharashtra, North Interior Karnataka and Rayalseema are at risk.
Poor Signal

10. PAST FORECAST PERFORMANCE
2012
2013
2014
Skymet Forecast
95% of LPA
103% of LPA
91% of LPA
Actual Monsoon
93% of LPA
105% of LPA
88% of LPA

11. Thank you