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Published byPaweł Lisowski Modified over 6 years ago
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Evaluation of a Stochastic Oscillator Equity Trading Method
27 February 2003 CamShaft Investors Ashvin Chandhok Sohit Khurana Pete Nolan Chris Rieger
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Stochastic Oscillator Assumptions
Upward/downward moving stocks tend to close near the highs/lows of their trading ranges As the trend matures, stocks close further off their highs/lows
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Oscillator Parameters
CL = close[today] – lowest low[in %K periods] HL = Highest High [in %K Periods] - Lowest Low [in %K Periods] %K = CL / HL %D [fast] = moving average of %K %D [slow] = moving average of %D [fast] Monitor %D for buy/sell signals
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BUY when cross above lower limit SELL when cross below upper limit
Illustration (S&P500) BUY when cross above lower limit SELL when cross below upper limit
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Optimization & Forecast
Maximize % return over test period ( ) %K period %D1 period %D2 period Upper/Lower thresholds Apply parameters and forecast out-of-sample ( )
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Building on this? Need non-Excel platform for optimization
Use both fast & slow %D? Combine with other technical indicators?
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