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Macroprudentialism: The Governance Challenges
Donato Masciandaro
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Macroprudentialism: What Do We Know
One Industry (Finance) Two + One Economic Policies: Traditional Policies: Monetary Policy (MP) and Microprudentialism (MICROPRU) Monetary Policy: Monetary Stability, MP tools (interest rates and quantitative operations) and MP strategy (mix rules/discretion) Microprudentialism: Banking Stability, MICROPRU tools (capital ratios) and MICRO strategy (mix rules/discretion) Which Institutions? Two Stages …
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Traditional View: Two Policies, One Player
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Modern View (Before the Crisis): Two Policies, Two Players
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Modern View (Before the Crisis): Two Policies, Two Players
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Post Modern View (After the Crisis): The Great Reversal
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Macroprudentialism: What Do We Know
New Toolkit in Macroeconomics: Macroprudentialism (MACROPRU) One Goal: Financial Stability (Systemic Risk) One Toolkit (LTV ratios, countercyclical buffers) One Specific Strategy: Mix Rules/Discretion
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Macroprudentialism: What Do We Not Know
The interactions between MP, MACROPRU and MICROPRU, can be: A) positive and/or negative, driven by B) economics and political economy, and characterized by C) exogenous and endogenous shocks Therefore, which institutional setting?
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Macroprudentialism: Governance Principles
Four Principles: 1) Three Goals, Three Players 2) Three Players, One Information Set 3) For Each Player: Same Levels of Independence and Accountability 4) Rules of the Games on Interactions: a) Normal Times: Nash Equilibria b) Extraordinary Times (Goal Conflicts): Political device to decides the Goal Hierarchy
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Macroprudentialism: Governance in the Real World
Governance = political drivers Who is the Macro Supervisor (Masciandaro and Volpicella 2014, 31 countries)? 1) No autonomous players, just committees 2) Dominant Player: It is likely to be the Central Banker , the more he/she is also the Micro Supervisor (information gains) and … 3) the more he/she is Dependent (avoiding too powerful bureaucracies)
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