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Multi-Sector Needs Assessment Joint Analysis Workshop Education Sector
Joint REACH-OCHA-Sectors analysis of MSNA sectoral preliminary findings August 2018
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Introduction 01
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Northeast Nigeria humanitarian situation
Now in its ninth year, the crisis in north‐east Nigeria remains one of the most severe in the world. In the three worst‐affected states of Borno, Adamawa and Yobe, 1.8 million people are internally displaced and human rights violations continue to be reported daily. Over eighty per cent of internally displaced people (IDPs) are in Borno State, the epicentre of the crisis, and over sixty percent are living in host communities, making it harder to access them with assistance and putting additional pressure on the already stretched resources of these communities. In preparation for the 2019 Humanitarian Needs Overview, data collection for a multi‐sector needs assessment was launched mid‐June in Borno, Adamawa and Yobe. The preliminary findings from this MSNA will be presented to you during this analysis workshop session. CONTEXT
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HOW CAN REACH HELP IN THIS CONTEXT?
MSNA covering the three most affected States Through this assessment, REACH will be able to inform the humanitarian community on needs and vulnerabilities of affected populations in the three Northeastern States of Nigeria Strong assessment capacity HOW CAN REACH HELP IN THIS CONTEXT? REACH is bringing to the Nigerian context a strong assessment background and capacity, implementing the MSNA, which is an exercise that has been conducted since several years in many other missions. Coordination and communication effort Throughout the whole research design process, REACH coordinated with all the sectors and the Inter-Sector Working Group to ensure the highest buy-in and input from all stakeholders. REACH also communicated regular data collection updates with OCHA counterparts Main objective and outcome Through the main objective of this assessment, informing on humanitarian nedds and vulnerabilities of all affected populations in three States, REACH Will be able to feed its data into key humanitarian milestones such as the 2019 HNO/HRP coordinated by OCHA.
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OBJECTIVES Main objectives Research questions
Provide a comprehensive evidence base of multi-sectorial needs among conflict-affected populations in Adamawa, Borno and Yobe states, including: Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs) residing in formal camps, informal camps and within host community populations Returnees Non-Displaced Population Provide robust evidence to support the Humanitarian Needs Overview and Humanitarian Response Plan for Research questions What is the situation for specific population groups (IDPs, returnees and non-displaced) regarding: Levels of needs, access and vulnerabilities across Protection, Food Security, Health, Livelihoods, NFI, Shelter, WASH, and Education sectors? Intentions regarding onward/return movement or remain in location of current displacement?
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Defining Scope & Indicators
COORDINATION PROCESS Defining Scope & Indicators Early coordination with OCHA and the ISWG to define the scope and methodology Joint process between REACH and each of the Sectors to define indicators for the MSNA Coordination between OCHA, Sectors and REACH means that indicators covered will directly feed into 2019 HNO/HRP Updates During Data Collection & Processing Regular communication to OCHA of data collection advancement and achievement during the month of July Quick process of data cleaning meant that OCHA and sectors had access to a clean dataset few days after data collection ended Sharing with the sectors of preliminary sectoral findings ahead of the Joint Analysis Workshops Joint Analysis Initiative Sectoral Joint Analysis Workshops from mid- to end-August Joint Inter-sectoral Analysis Group end-August and early September with joint meetings in each of the States covered
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METHODOLOGY Methodology Overview
Mixed method – household surveys and key informants interviews Household surveys sample was produced using a probability / stratified cluster sample Key informants were targeted purposively for interviews Household Surveys – Total initial target: 10,084 The sampling has been created to cover all accesible areas within Adamawa, Borno and Yobe States An additional data collection still ongoing (only purposive, not representative, due to methodological challenges) will capture information from hard to reach areas in Borno State. For more detailed sampling frames per State, see following slides. Sampling design: Confidence level: 95%, Margin of error: 10% Key Informant Interviews – total: 1,481 Main objective: Confirming population estimates in cluster / community to triangulate initial secondary data Sampling: Purposive, indicative and not representative Targets for interviews: Recently arrived IDPs, recently arrived IDP Community Leader, non-displaced person, returnees, current NGO worker, current Polio/ health care worker, current Civilian Joint Task Force member ... 8. Current Nigeria Armed Forces member 9. Government official
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METHODOLOGY – Sampling frame - Borno
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METHODOLOGY – Sampling frame – Adamawa/Yobe
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GEOGRAPHICAL COVERAGE
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TARGETS AND ACCOMPLISHMENTS
CLUSTERS SAMPLED AND SURVEYED TOTAL OF SURVEYS COMPLETED PROJECTED NUMBER OF OUTPUTS 10,606 household surveys completed in 3 States, 63 LGAs (target = 10,084) Non-response rate: 2.1% 1,481 Key informant interviews conducted 1,489 clusters surveyed 402 wards covered Data collection from 25 June to 4 August 1 Factsheet per LGA covered (63) 1 Factsheet per sector and per State (27) 1 Final report 1 clean, anonymised dataset
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Findings 02
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CROSS SECTORAL FINDINGS
DEMOGRAPHICS Household Household Size (mean) Male HoH Female HoH Female HoH % Avg. Age of HoH BORNO STATE 5.3 3530 1099 23.7% 43.5 Central Borno 5.5 856 283 24.8% 43.6 East Borno 5.0 723 288 28.5% MMC and Jere 6.1 323 184 36.3% 44.2 Northern Borno 4.1 599 233 28.0% 40.5 Southern Borno 5.7 1029 111 9.7% 45.2 YOBE STATE 7.8 2532 320 11.2% 47.7 Central Yobe 7.9 695 101 11.9% Northern Yobe 681 107 13.6% 49.7 Southern Yobe 7.7 1156 112 8.8% 46.4 ADAMAWA STATE 5.9 2639 258 8.9% 44.9 Northern Adamawa 6.5 958 132 12.1% 45.8 Southern Adamawa 1681 126 7.0% 44.3 TOTAL 8701 1677 16.2% 45.0
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MAIN INDICATORS COVERED
Formal school attendance Informal school attendance Access to child friendly spaces Access to school supplies Education expenses Education barriers Food and nutrition Displacement Prefered assistance and cash for education
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Indicator 1 – FORMAL SCHOOL ATTENDANCE
SECTORAL FINDINGS Indicator 1 – FORMAL SCHOOL ATTENDANCE FORMAL SCHOOL ATTENDANCE What is the current FORMAL school attendance status of ${name_hh}? Choices Adamawa Borno Yobe IDP NONDISPLACED RETURNEE Attending preschool 7.0% 2.1% 7.6% 3.6% 5.5% 5.9% 0.7% 3.7% 13.9% Attending primary school 50.8% 32.5% 45.2% 26.3% 35.5% 35.3% 27.9% 32.6% 37.8% Attending junior secondary school 14.6% 9.6% 14.0% 6.6% 12.2% 8.9% 10.1% 11.4% 6.0% Attending senior secondary school 3.5% 7.8% 1.7% 10.0% 5.4% 6.5% 8.0% Did not attend any formal school this year 4.7% 1.4% 1.8% 2.9% 1.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.3% Dropped out this year 1.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.1% Never attended any formal school 16.5% 49.9% 22.6% 58.2% 40.9% 37.7% 53.7% 44.9% 33.9% Primary school attendance for school aged childern varies between %, with lowest of IDPs in Borno, highest among IDPs in Adamawa. High percentages ( %) of school aged who never attended any formal schooling. Worst rates among IDPs in Borno, lowest among IDPs in Adamawa.
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Indicator 1 – FORMAL SCHOOL ATTENDANCE - Female
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Indicator 1 – FORMAL SCHOOL ATTENDANCE
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Indicator 2 – INFORMAL SCHOOL ATTENDANCE
SECTORAL FINDINGS Indicator 2 – INFORMAL SCHOOL ATTENDANCE INFORMAL SCHOOL ATTENDANCE What is the current INFORMAL school attendance status of ${name_hh}? Choices Adamawa Borno Yobe IDP NONDISPLACED RETURNEE Attending Accelerated Learning Programme 6.5% 4.9% 1.2% 0.5% 3.7% 0.1% 3.4% 0.7% 0.0% Attending Islamia school 33.5% 26.5% 27.3% 64.0% 56.7% 59.6% 59.1% 66.6% 92.4% Dropped out of non-formal education this year 0.4% 0.3% 0.6% 5.5% Did not attend non-formal education this year 2.1% 1.4% 1.5% 2.3% 1.1% 1.3% Never attended any non-formal education 57.2% 67.5% 70.6% 36.9% 37.5% 30.8% 6.3% In Adamawa, among all population groups 1/3 attends Islamic schools, 2/3 never atteneded any non-formal education. In Borno the rates are the opposite. Very high percentage of returnees in Yobe (92,4%) attend Islamic school. Accelerated Learning Program mostly prevalent among IDPs and non-displaced in Adamawa, and non-displaced in Borno.
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Indicator 2 – INFORMAL SCHOOL ATTENDANCE
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Indicator 3: ACCESS TO CHILD FRIENDLY SPACES
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Indicator 4: Access to school supplies
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Indicator 5: HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURE
Expenses Housing Food Energy Health Water Education Debt Adamawa Northern Adamawa IDP 9.0% 39.0% 3.3% 17.3% 1.4% 9.1% 10.3% NONDISPLACED 3.6% 50.5% 3.2% 17.9% 0.8% 6.8% 5.3% RETURNEE 3.5% 36.8% 18.2% 1.3% 14.7% 8.6% Southern Adamawa 14.2% 35.9% 6.3% 12.5% 5.2% 3.0% 46.5% 3.1% 17.4% 6.4% 7.2% 0.6% 45.3% 4.6% 17.1% 1.5% 7.6% 8.7% Borno Central Borno 8.1% 58.1% 5.9% 2.1% 11.8% 7.8% 56.1% 5.5% 6.5% 2.7% 11.0% 8.4% 58.8% 5.6% 6.6% 3.8% 5.0% 6.9% East Borno 14.1% 43.4% 10.0% 4.0% 11.6% 6.2% 42.8% 24.9% 1.1% 9.2% 47.5% 6.1% 2.5% 9.3% MMC and Jere 55.6% 4.2% 10.2% NONDISPLCED 9.8% 43.7% 6.7% 8.8% 9.6% 7.0% 4.3% 11.3% 10.5% 8.3% Northern Borno 3.4% 67.9% 6.0% 2.2% 0.0% 71.9% 4.4% 74.3% 0.3% 1.7% Southern Borno 51.5% 9.7% 9.4% 44.0% 5.7% 17.2% 1.8% 7.9% 46.2% 5.1% 1.9% 10.8% Yobe Central Yobe 4.5% 56.8% 10.9% 57.7% 2.8% 4.9% 9.5% 55.2% 4.1% 3.7% 12.4% Northern Yobe 54.7% 9.9% 61.6% 10.4% 1.6% 0.9% 64.5% Southern Yobe 5.4% 20.6% 52.3% 51.8% 3.9% 10.7% 13.6%
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Indicator 5: Education expenses
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Indicator 6: Education barriers
What barriers does your household face in sending children to school, either formal or informal?
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Indicator 7: Food and nutrition
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Indicator 8: Displacement
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Indicator 9 – Preference for education assistance
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Education Index Existing vulnerabilities and risks
Vulnerability indicators Questionnaire question - Example questions only, to be identified depending on local context Response if Vulnerable Example: Household is Vulnerable caseload (>=5 out of 10): Scale Contribution Household has children that have not currently attending any formal or informal school What is the current FORMAL school attendance status of the child? What is the current INFORMAL school attendance status of the child? “Not currently attending” or “Dropped Out” “Not currently attending 3 Household has children that have never attended any formal school “Never attended any formal school” “Never attended” Household reports any barrier in accessing schools What barriers does your household face in sending children to school, either formal or informal? Reports at least 1 barrier “1 barrier 2 Household reports not having access to school supplies Does your household have access to any of the following items? Does not mention “school bags” “school notebooks” or “school text books” “no school supplies”
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EDUCATION SECTOR INDEX
Borno LGA Education Index konduga 76.8% magumeri 73.8% nganzai 70.5% gubio 66.5% bama 66.0% ngala 65.7% kwayakusar 64.8% kaga 63.8% guzamala 63.6% bayo 61.2% mafa 61.1% gwoza 59.6% maiduguri 59.1% askirauba 58.9% jere 56.5% chibok 56.4% damboa 53.9% dikwa 53.0% biu 50.0% kukawa 49.5% kalabalge 49.2% monguno 47.2% mobbar 36.7% Adamawa LGA Education Index hong 81.6% maiha 77.7% shelleng 76.3% lamurde 74.8% mubinorth 73.9% fufore 73.3% mayobelwa 73.0% jada 72.9% toungo 72.3% demsa 70.8% song 70.6% ganye 70.2% numan 67.2% yolasouth 66.5% gombi 65.5% michika 64.4% madagali 63.2% guyuk 61.1% girei 60.3% mubisouth 50.1% yolanorth 46.7% Yobe LGA Education Index bursari 81.3% nangere 76.6% karasuwa 76.2% yusufari 75.4% fune 75.3% jakusko 74.8% yunusari 72.6% shani 71.9% machina 68.8% tarmua 67.5% nguru 66.7% fika 62.3% hawul 60.6% bade 59.7% geidam 58.0% damaturu 57.6% gujba 55.2% potiskum 53.2% gulani 50.9%
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Food Security Index Existing vulnerabilities and risks
Vulnerability indicators Questionnaire question - Example questions only, to be identified depending on local context Response if Vulnerable Example: Household is Vulnerable caseload (>=5 out of 10): Scale Contribution Food Consumption Score is borderline or poor Food Consumption Score calculation “Poor” or “Borderline” Poor 2 reduced Coping Strategies Index Reduced Coping Strategies Index (for food coping) >9 15 Household reports no market access in last two weeks Have you had physical access to a market in the last two weeks? “No” No Not enough fuel to meet their needs Yesterday, did you have enough fuel to meet your cooking fuel needs? Any unsustainable food sources utilized in the last month What sources of food has your household used in the last month? (aid, foraged wild foods, consumed seed stocks) Only food assistance
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CROSS-SECTORAL ANALYSIS - % HOUSEHOLDS WITH BOTH Education / Protection / Food Security
Borno LGA Education Index Edu-FoodSec konduga 76.8% 22.3% magumeri 73.8% 34.6% nganzai 70.5% 29.6% gubio 66.5% 20.8% bama 66.0% 41.4% ngala 65.7% 36.6% kwayakusar 64.8% 8.0% kaga 63.8% 18.8% guzamala 63.6% 32.8% bayo 61.2% 5.3% mafa 61.1% 21.5% gwoza 59.6% 18.6% maiduguri 59.1% 17.4% askirauba 58.9% 19.7% jere 56.5% 14.6% chibok 56.4% 16.9% damboa 53.9% 20.7% dikwa 53.0% 29.8% biu 50.0% 9.2% kukawa 49.5% 13.2% kalabalge 49.2% monguno 47.2% 38.1% mobbar 36.7% 12.0% Adamawa LGA Education Index Edu-FoodSec hong 81.6% 27.4% maiha 77.7% 21.0% shelleng 76.3% 6.9% lamurde 74.8% 33.7% mubinorth 73.9% 46.9% fufore 73.3% 3.8% mayobelwa 73.0% 8.4% jada 72.9% 19.2% toungo 72.3% 19.7% demsa 70.8% 20.7% song 70.6% 8.5% ganye 70.2% 14.2% numan 67.2% 21.2% yolasouth 66.5% 6.5% gombi 65.5% 23.9% michika 64.4% 23.1% madagali 63.2% 20.9% guyuk 61.1% 8.7% girei 60.3% 3.3% mubisouth 50.1% 10.0% yolanorth 46.7% Yobe LGA Education Index Edu-FoodSec bursari 81.3% 12.5% nangere 76.6% 16.8% karasuwa 76.2% 15.3% yusufari 75.4% 14.9% fune 75.3% 15.6% jakusko 74.8% 23.3% yunusari 72.6% 23.5% shani 71.9% 4.2% machina 68.8% 17.1% tarmua 67.5% 9.6% nguru 66.7% 14.6% fika 62.3% 9.1% hawul 60.6% 4.6% bade 59.7% 16.0% geidam 58.0% 10.0% damaturu 57.6% gujba 55.2% 13.9% potiskum 53.2% 11.0% gulani 50.9% 19.1%
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Discussion 03
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SECTORAL FINDINGS – Group discussions
What are the key trends across geographical areas and population groups? What information is most striking and relevant to Education partners? Does this information confirm or contradict other data sources, contextual information or action plans? What are the key information gaps, or questions that the data raises? What are key recommendations going forward? Your own questions!
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