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Mark Fielding-Pritchard
Daron Mark Fielding-Pritchard mefielding.com
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Cost of Capital Add inflation Risk free (1.05)(1.04) 9.2
Market rate (1.05)(1.1) 15.5 𝐾 𝑒 ( ) 17.075 MV of Equity 18.4 Debt 14 32.4 𝐾 𝑑 9.2% WACC [9.2x14/32.4x70%]+[17.075x 18.4/32.4]= 13% mefielding.com
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A Wins 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Sales 28 29 26 22 19 VC -17 -18 -16 -14 -12 FC -3 Depn -4 -2 -1 4 5 3 Tax -1.2 -1.5 -0.9 2 1 WC 6.8 7.5 7.8 7.1 6.1 2.8 Disc 13% 0.885 0.783 0.693 0.613 0.543 1.91 PV 6.02 5.87 5.41 4.35 3.31 5.35 30.31 mefielding.com
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Discount Rate Ungeared Cost of Equity 1.25[18.4/(18.4+14)]= 0.82
9.2+ ( )0.82= 14% Cost of debt 9.2% mefielding.com
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Part A 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Rev 9 10 11 12 13 VC 6 7 8 FC 2 1 3 Tax -0.3 -0.6 -0.9 WC -1 End Value 1.4 1.1 12.1 14% 0.877 0.769 0.675 0.592 0.519 -0.26 1.08 0.95 0.65 6.28 8.69 -9.00 -0.31 mefielding.com
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APV Cash flow (0.3) Debt Shield (9m/0.98) x 9.2% x 0.3x 3.89= 0.225
Issue Costs (0.184) (0.25) mefielding.com
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a) discussion Cash flow only looks at 5 years so value of company is likely to fall May be inaccuracies in figures Risk/ discount rate may change 1) Offer- the offer figure looks low at 20m, they should explore the possibility of negotiating this 2) What is the point of this? Running the company in to the ground achieves nothing From a business perspective explore new products, so Ansoff style analysis New product Existing market Existing product Existing market (presumably not attractive) New product New market Existing product, new market
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a) discussion APV is positive so in principle they should do it
However no experience Hotels are hugely risky High inflation will have a negative impact on business, though may increase tourism End price is key to calculation
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Convertible Bond
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Convertible Bond Used in 2 scenarios
1) Where the directors believe the company shares are undervalued and they want to limit the number of shares issued on an equity issue- less EPS dilution 2) Where the investor wants equity but is restricted from investing in equity, UN Pension Fund, religious organisations
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b) Bond Current share price 92c
Declining market so chances are price will remain below $1 Therefore bond becomes redeemable Hotels very risky
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c) takeovers Points when announcements must be made
Points when offers must be made, 30% in UK Directors must act in shareholders interests Cash must be 1 offer If offer is greater than x% of company size (offeror) share holders must approve If offer is rejected then predator must sell its shares (subject to limits)
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