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International Crime Statistics Some recent research experiences

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Presentation on theme: "International Crime Statistics Some recent research experiences"— Presentation transcript:

1 International Crime Statistics Some recent research experiences
Paul Smit Research and Documentation Centre (WODC) Ministry of Justice, the Netherlands

2 A story of the struggle against all the zillion of problems you encounter when trying to make crime statistics between countries ‘comparable’ ….. ….. and how to succeed ….. well, at least partially.

3 A story of the struggle against all the zillion of problems you encounter when trying to make crime statistics between countries ‘comparable’ ….. ….. and how to succeed ….. well, at least partially.

4 A story of the struggle against all the zillions of problems you encounter when trying to make crime statistics between countries ‘comparable’ ….. ….. and how to succeed ….. well, at least partially.

5 Four research projects
EUCPN report: Crime trends in the EU Cambridge study on crime trends Study on effectiveness and severeness of law enforcement Study on detection rates

6 EUCPN report: Crime trends in the EU
Based on existing international datasources (ICVS, European Sourcebook, UK Data Collection, Eurobarometer) Comparing trends is probably better than comparing rates.

7 Cambridge study on crime trends
8 countries, will be published this year in a special issue of Crime and Justice National data are used. On a national level the statistics are modified to meet the requirements (definitions imposed) All individual country chapters follow the same format

8 Criminaliteit in Nederland (internationale vergelijking)

9 Study on effectiveness and severeness of law enforcement
Study presented at the ESC (2003) based on European Sourcebook data Comparing ratios is probably better than comparing rates.

10 The law enforcement measuring points
1. Recorded crime 2. Suspected offenders 3. Sanctions and measures 4. Unsuspended prison sentences 5. Prisoners

11 Effectiveness 1. Recorded crime 2. Suspected offenders
3. Sanctions and measures 4. Unsuspended prison sentences 5. Prisoners

12 Severeness 1. Recorded crime 2. Suspected offenders
3. Sanctions and measures 4. Unsuspended prison sentences 5. Prisoners

13 Average actual length of prison days per recorded crime
2. Suspected offenders 3. Sanctions and measures 4. Unsuspended prison sentences 5. Prisoners

14

15 Study on detection rates
Was published in the same European Journal on Criminal Policy and Research as the EUCPN study Research question: Is the detection rate as published by various countries a good measure of the effectiveness of the police or do other factors also influence this rate?

16 Published detection rates

17 Method used Identify different factors that could, potentially, influence the detection rate. Use existing datasources (European Sourcebook, ICVS) and a questionnaire filled in by contacts in the different countries to ‘score’ those factors. Analyse the possibility / probability that those factors indeed do influence the detection rate.

18 Criteria for solving crimes
The Netherlands +1 Germany England & W -1 France Scotland Sweden Finland Poland Portugal

19 Special investigative agencies
Crit Spec The Netherlands +1 Germany England & W -1 France Scotland Sweden Finland Poland Portugal

20 Counting units Crit Spec Count The Netherlands +1 -1 Germany
-1 Germany England & W France Scotland Sweden Finland Poland Portugal

21 Reporting rates

22 Reporting rate Crit Spec Count Rep The Netherlands +1 -1 Germany
-1 Germany England & W France Scotland Sweden Finland Poland Portugal

23 Relative number of violent crimes

24 Relative number of violent crimes
Crit Spec Count Rep Viol The Netherlands +1 -1 Germany England & W France Scotland Sweden Finland Poland Portugal

25 Obligation to prosecute
Crit Spec Count Rep Viol Obpr The Netherlands +1 -1 Germany England & W France Scotland Sweden Finland Poland Portugal

26 Discretionary powers Crit Spec Count Rep Viol Obpr Discr
The Netherlands +1 -1 Germany England & W France Scotland Sweden Finland Poland Portugal

27 Total country scores Crit Spec Count Rep Viol Obpr Discr Tot
The Netherlands +1 -1 -3 Germany +3 England & W -2 France Scotland Sweden Finland Poland Portugal +2

28 Detection rates Total score Detection rate The Netherlands -3 13%
Germany +3 53% England & W -2 25% France +1 27% Scotland 44% Sweden -1 19% Finland 45% Poland Portugal +2 No data

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