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Competitive & Cooperative Strategies
Co-opetition Competitive & Cooperative Strategies Barry Nalebuff Yale School of Management 11/2/98 Will there be a screen set up so I can see the notes pages?
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Game Theory Newtonian mechanics Interdependent Decision Theory
Began with Theory of Games and Economic Behavior by John von Neumann and Oskar Morgenstern (1944) Newtonian mechanics For every action there is a reaction Interdependent Decision Theory Engineer versus Manager
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Business as a Game Chess, poker, sports? Not win-win Not win-lose
War and Peace Cooperate to create value Compete to divide it up
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Business as a Game Chess, poker, sports? Not win-lose No rule book
People change the game Success comes from playing the right game
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“Philosophers have only interpreted the world. The point, however,
is to change it.”
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“Philosophers have only interpreted the world. The point, however,
is to change it.” --Karl Marx
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The Right Game Analyse existing game Understand distribution of power
Model equilibrium Design new game Can’t rely on being a fast-follower Nothing so practical as a good theory
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Added Value YOUR ADDED VALUE =
The Size of the Pie When You’re in the Game minus The Size of the Pie When You’re Out of the Game
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Added Value Can’t get more than your added value
Zero added value means get zero
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Ego vs. Allo What happens when you participate in a game?
Ego view: What’s in it for you Allo view: How does your play change the game for others? Jimmy Stewart in “It’s a Wonderful Life”
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5 Forces Buyer power Supplier power Threats from substitutes
Threats from entrants Inter-firm rivalry
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The Value Chain CUSTOMERS BUSINESS SUPPLIERS Companies compete to dominate one or more stages of the chain But, what is relationship between Microsoft & Intel? Which of the 5 Forces?
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New Language: Complementor
Business strategy frameworks often overlook the role of complements No existing word to describe providers of complements customers, suppliers, and complementors can all be partners Not more important --- As important No different than relationship with customers and suppliers. Tension, but you each need each other. Need not be a partner to be a complementor. Intel and Microsoft.
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Competitor vs. Complementor
A player is your complementor if customers value your product more when they have the other player’s product than when they have your product alone. A player is your competitor if customers value your product less when they have the other player’s product than when they have your product alone.
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Complementors Technical Definition WtP(A & B) > WtP(A) + WtP(B)
Two businesses A and B are complementors with respect to a customer if WtP (willingness-to-pay) for both of their products together is greater than WtP for A’s product alone plus WtP for B’s product alone: WtP(A & B) > WtP(A) + WtP(B) Superadditivity in WtP
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Added Value Strategies
Increasing your Added Value Complements creating new ones creating better ones getting them cheaper reducing the power of complementors stepping outside the value chain
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Examples of Complements
Pentium II and Windows NT ASDL and Hardware/Software Desktop printers and Digital Cameras (HP/Polaroid) Cars and Roads -- Michelin guide Golf courses (ski mountains) and real estate Carnival cruise and Carnival air Gap and Casual Friday Hallmark/Mazaroff and Valentines Day TV and TV guide Red wine and Dry Cleaners
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Flip Side of Complements
Your product makes someone else’s more valuable Railroads and land IBM and Microsoft/Intel TV and TV Guide SAP and Windows NT Microsoft needs SAP -- to prove scalability/reliability of NT
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The Value Net CUSTOMERS COMPETITORS BUSINESS COMPLEMENTORS SUPPLIERS
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Intel’s Strategy in the Value Net
“Only the Paranoid Survive” ---Andy Grove, CEO Competitor strategy: Continuous innovation Customer strategy: Intel Inside campaign Supplier strategy Dual sourcing Pandesic: people buy more servers with Pentium chips. Hence good to support online commerce
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Complementors: A Sixth Force
“Processor performance alone is not enough. We must address two ‘valleys of death,’ namely, the processor-to-memory and processor -to-graphics bus bandwidth bottlenecks.” --- Andrew Grove Partnerships with MCI, Real Networks, CAA, ... DSL (w. Compaq and Microsoft) PCI bus and now dual independent bus Proshare ($400 million plus) Pentium II webpages, QuickWeb Video editing Video games: Sea Racers Pandesic Voice recognition What about DOS (4.0), Windows?
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What to do if no AV? Becoming a player changes the game--in particular, the added values Examples Holland Sweetener Norfolk Southern BellSouth
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Competition is valuable
Pay Me to Play Competition is valuable Don’t give it away Get paid to play
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Ways to Get Paid to Play 1. Ask for contributions toward bidding expenses etc. 2. Ask for a guaranteed sales contract 3. Ask for a last-look provision 4. Ask for better access to information 5. Ask to deal with someone who will appreciate what you bring to the table 6. Ask to bid on other pieces of business 7. Ask the customer to quote a price at which he would give you his business Cash is okay, too
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8 Hidden Costs of Bidding
1. You’re unlikely to succeed 2. Even if you win, the price is so low you lose money 3. The incumbent can retaliate 4. Your existing customers will now want a better deal 5. New customers will use the low price as a benchmark 6. Competitors will use the low price as a benchmark 7. You give your customers’ competitors a lower cost 8. You destroy your competitors’ glass houses
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War and Peace Cooperation in creating value
Competition in dividing it up Simultaneously War and Peace New mindset Coopetition
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