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SICHUAN EARTHQUAKE May 12, 2008
BBC Science
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fault area x slip x rigidity
Science USGS 1. Find the seismic moment M0 = 8.9 * 10^20 Nm SEISMIC MOMENT M0 = fault area x slip x rigidity MOMENT MAGNITUDE Mw = 2/3 x (log M ) University of Nevada
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2. Predict the rupture length (km) and average displacement (m)
Wells and Coppersmith, 1994 500 km 10 m 3*10^11 * 500*10^3 * w * 10 = 8.9 * 10^20 --> w = 593 m ~ 1/2 km 2. Predict the rupture length (km) and average displacement (m) 3. Use these and the moment to predict the downdip dimension (fault width). Use rigidity = 3*1010 Pa (1 Pascal=N/m2)
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4. How do the intensity & aftershock distributions compare to the fault parameters you estimated?
USGS 350 km vs. 500 km
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5. How does the slip distribution from body wave modeling compare to the fault parameters you estimated? 7 m vs. 10 m w: 20 km vs. 1/2 km hmmm 20*10^3 * 280*10^3 * 7 * 3*10^10 = 11.8 * 10^20 = M0 --> Mw = 8.0 USGS
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6. What type of faulting did it involve?
7. Which plane did it occur on? 8. What’s the tectonic cause? USGS Zhang et al., 2004 GPS site velocities wrt Eurasia
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