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Published byMyles Shelton Modified over 5 years ago
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Sample Space, S The set of all possible outcomes of an experiment.
Each outcome is an element or member or sample point. If the set is finite (e.g., H/T on coin toss, number on the die, etc.): S = {H, T} S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} in general, S = {e1, e2, e3, …, en} where ei = the outcomes of interest Note: sometimes a tree diagram is helpful in determining the sample space… other examples: gender of SOE students, S = {M, F} specialization of BSE students in MUSE, S = {BME, CPE, ECE, EVE, ISE, MAE}
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Sample Space Example: The sample space of gender and specialization of all BSE students in the School of Engineering is … S = {BMEF, BMEM, CPEF, CPEM, ECEF, ECEM, EVEF, EVEM, ISEF, ISEM, MAEF, MAEM}, SEE DIAGRAM …
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Events A subset of the sample space reflecting the specific occurrences of interest. Example, All EVE students, V = V = {EVEF, EVEM} other examples, all female students: F = {BMEF, CPEF, ECEF, EVEF, ISEF, MAEF} all male MAE students, MM = {MAEM}
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Events Complement of an event, (A’, if A is the event)
e.g., students who are not EVE, Intersection of two events, (A ∩ B) e.g., engineering students who are EVE and female, Mutually exclusive or disjoint events Union of two events, (A U B) V’ = {BMEF, BMEM, CPEF, CPEM, ECEF, ECEM, ISEF, ISEM, MAEF, MAEM} V int. F = {EVEF} mutually exclusive example, students who are EVE and male MAE. Union example, students who are EVE OR students who are male MAE
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Venn Diagrams Example, events V (EVE students) and F (female students)
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Other Venn Diagram Examples
Mutually exclusive events Subsets mutually exclusive example, EVE and MAE students subset example, female students and female ISE students
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Example: Students who are male, students who are ECE, students who are on the ME track in ECE, and female students who are required to take ISE 412 to graduate.
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Sample Points Multiplication Rule
If event A can occur n1 ways and event B can occur n2 ways, then an event C that includes both A and B can occur n1 n2 ways. Example, if there are 6 ways to choose a female engineering student at random and there are 6 ways to choose a male student at random, then there are 6 * 6 = 36 ways to choose a female and a male engineering student at random.
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Another Example Example 2.14, pg. 32
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Permutations definition: an arrangement of all or part of a set of objects. The total number of permutations of the 6 engineering specializations in MUSE is … In general, the number of permutations of n objects is n! First position has 6 options, second has 5, 3rd has 4, etc., so 6*5*4*3*2*1 = 720 by definition, 1! = 1 and 0! = 1.
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Permutations If we take the number of specializations 3 at a time (n = 6, r = 3), the number of permutations is In general,
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Example A new group, the MUSE Ambassadors, is being formed and will consist of two students (1 male and 1 female) from each of the BSE specializations. If a prospective student comes to campus, he or she will be assigned one Ambassador at random as a guide. If three prospective students are coming to campus on one day, how many possible selections of Ambassador are there? 12P3 = 12!/(12-3)! = 479,001,600/362,880 = 1320 or, 12*11*10 = 1320
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Combinations Selections of subsets without regard to order.
Example: How many ways can we select 3 guides from the 12 Ambassadors? Note: difference between permutations and combinations Perm. = “how many ways can I get an Ambassador given I have 12 choices to start, then 11, then 10?” Comb. = “If I’m going to divide the Ambassadors into groups of 4, how many different groups can I have?” (12 choose 3) = 12!/3!(12-3)! = 479,001,600/(6*362,880) = 220
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Probability The probability of an event, A is the likelihood of that event given the entire sample space of possible events. 0 ≤ P(A) ≤ P(ø) = P(S) = 1 For mutually exclusive events, P(A1 U A2 U … U Ak) = P(A1) + P(A2) + … P(Ak)
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