1. In depth analysis of TYNDP issues
TYNDP assessment Findings for NW region
Resilience Denmark/Sweden, Luxembourg
Supply dependency South of France
Network adaptability no issues
Supply source diversification Denmark/Sweden
Projects resolving aforementioned issues
For Denmark/Sweden: solved by Project Ellund, see section and 4.3.2
For Luxembourg: work in progress, see section 4.3.3
For South of France: work in progress, see section 4.3.4

2. Resilience

3. Supply Source Dependency

4. Supply Source Diversification

5. Chapter ‘In Depth Review of TYNDP Identified NW Issues’: Example
Resilience Assessment
Potential investment gaps
Germany, Denmark (and Sweden)
TYNDP Project Ellund
Capacity extension from Germany to Denmark would solve this issue
Projects were identified through an Open Season in 2009
FID-project Step 1 increase capacity from Oct at a level of 310,000 m³/h
Non-FID project Step 2 increase capacity in 2016 at a level of 500,000 m³/h
Update GRIP 2013
Step 2 is now also FID
No investment gap

6. Background to NWE Projects
Procedures followed to define investment projects
Past and present projects (FID)
Possible future projects (non-FID)
Maps
Matrix
Explanation how the matrix works in conjunction with the appendix

7. Matrix – how it works Step 1: look up the IP number on capacity map
Step 2: goto matrix and find IP number (ascending order)
Step 3: find TYNDP code(s) of project(s)
Step 4: with TYNDP code and country goto appendix (countries in alphabetical order, within country in alphabetical order of TYNDP code)

8. Implementation of draft RCC feedback September 4th
S&D
Demand uncertainty
Energy efficiency measures taken in member states are part of the demand figures of the NW GRIP report
But major uncertainty in heating market is outside temperatures. Elasticity for domestic heating market on price is low.

9. Matrix – how it works Step 1: look up the IP number on capacity map
Step 2: goto matrix and find IP number (ascending order)
Step 3: find TYNDP code(s) of project(s)
Step 4: with TYNDP code and country goto appendix (countries in alphabetical order, within country in alphabetical order of TYNDP code)

10. Conclusions TSOs are aware of TYNDP identified issues
Germany/Denmark/Sweden solved, RFO 2016
Vulnerable position of Sweden improved but not solved. Solutions identified but not decided
Luxembourg congestion identified but not solved
Price spread between PEG Nord and PEG South identified, solutions being analysed
Enduring importance of gas, but increasing import dependency
Depleting L-gas sources in Germany and the Netherlands trigger L-gas market conversion
Role of gas in power generation and increasing contribution of RES adds to the challenges in flexible gas supply and transmission
Further challenges to network development due to decreasing long term transmission capacity commitments

11. NW GRIP 2013 Timeline - future
Nov 2013
26 Nov
28 Nov
1st Jan 2014
2014
2015
Publish report, start consultation phase
GRIP workshop ENTSOG
GRI NW presentation
End consultation phase
Review of feedback
ENTSOG discussions future GRIPs
New NW GRIP 2015

12. Questions?