1. Creating a Number Line for ProbabilityD
25%
50%
75%
100% 0%
On a piece of paper, you are to make a number line and then place these events color-coded on the number line based on the probability of each event.
(1)You will get heads on the toss of a coin.
(2) You can run 20 miles in one hour.
(3) You will roll a number 6 on a number cube.
(4) It will snow in Minnesota this winter.
(5) The sun will rise tomorrow.
(6) You will toss a coin twice and get tails both times.
(7) You will toss a coin twice and get heads at least once.
(8) You will attend school tomorrow.

2. Experimental Probability Making Purple
At a carnival, there is a game of chance called making purple.
It requires during a player’s turn to spin a spinner two times. To make purple, a player must land on red or blue first and then red/blue on the second spin.
Each turn of two spins cost $1 with a winner to receive a $10 prize. We will perform an experiment and record the results.

3. Making Purple Making a prediction
Do you think the carnival game will make a profit for the owner of Making Purple? Explain your reasoning.

4. Making Purple
Make a two column chart in your notebook to record the results:
Yes No

5. Making Purple Use the results to answer the following questions:
(1) How many times was the game played? How many times was the game won?
(2) Did the carnival owner make a profit? Explain how you figured this out.
(3) What is the theoretical probability(use a percent) of any player winning Making Purple on one turn?
(4) How would the theoretical probability change if a player could land only on red, then blue on a turn?
Answers will vary based on experimental results of each class for #1 and #2. #3 would be 4%. #4 would be 4%