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Economic Development of Taiwan
LECTURER: JACK WU 吳文傑
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How big is Taiwan’s Economy (GDP)?
Ranking Country 1 USA 11 Canada 21 Iran 2 China 12 Australia 22 Sweden 3 Japan 13 Spain 23 Norway 4 Germany 14 Mexico 24 Poland 5 France 15 Korea 25 Belgium 6 UK 16 Indonesia 26 Argentina 7 Brazil 17 Turkey 27 Taiwan 8 Russia 18 Netherland 28 Austria 9 Italy 19 Saudi Arabia 29 South Africa 10 India 20 Switzerland 30 UAE
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GDP Per Capita 2012 GDP per capita (nominal) GDP per capita
(Purchasing Power Parity) Singapore 51162 60410 Japan 46736 36266 Hong Kong 36667 51494 South Korea 23113 32272 Taiwan 20328 38749 Malaysia 10304 16922 China 6076 9162 Thailand 5678 10126
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GDP Per Capita (PPP) world ranking
GDP (PPP) GDP(PPP) 3. Singapore 60410 19. Taiwan 38749 5. Hong Kong 51494 20. Belgium 37883 6. USA 49922 21. Denmark 37657 8. Switzerland 45418 22. UK 36941 9. Canada 42734 23. Finland 36395 10. Australia 42640 24. Japan 36266 11. Austria 42409 25. France 35548 15. Sweden 41191 26. Israel 32312 18. Germany 39028 27. Korea 32272
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Credit Suisse Ranking of Net Wealth of Middle Class
1. Australia 11.Austria 21 Arab Emirates 2. Luxembourg 12.Canada 22. Taiwan 3. Japan 13. France 23. Germany 4. Italy 14.Norway 24.Sweden 5. Belgium 15.Finland 25. Cyprus 6. UK1 16.New Zealand 26. Kuwait 7. UK2 17. Netherland 27. USA 8. Iceland 18.Ireland 9. Singapore 19.Qater 10. Switzerland 20.Spain
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Top Export Countries Ranking Country 1 China 11 Italy 2 USA 12 Canada
3 Germany 13 Spain 4 Japan 14 Singapore 5 France 15 Saudi Arabia 6 Korea 16 Mexico 7 Netherlands 17 UAE 8 Russia 18 India 9 HK 19 Switzerland 10 UK 20 Taiwan
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Top Import Countries Ranking Country 1 USA 11 Netherlands 2 China 12
Italy 3 Germany 13 Thailand 4 Japan 14 Mexico 5 UK 15 Russia 6 France 16 Spain 7 Korea 17 Belgium 8 India 18 Switzerland 9 HK 19 Taiwan 10 Canada 20 Australia
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Which Ones are Taiwanese Companies?
Foxconn Hon Hai TSMC Formosa Plastic Co. HTC ACER ASUS Trend Micro MASTER KONG WANT-WANT GIANT SYNNEX MAXXIS 85 C ADVANTECH MERIDA D-LINK UNI-PRESIDENT ZYXEL JOHNSON CYBERLINK TRANSCEND DELTA WOWPRIME
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Major Economic Indicator of Taiwan
Year GDP Per Capita(US$) GDP Growth Rate(%) Average GDP Growth Rate(10 year,%) Unemployment Rate(%) CPI Growth Rate(%) AverageCPI Growth Rate(%) Gini coefficient Foreign reserve(billion US$) 1970 393 11.40 9.4 1.70 3.60 3.4 0.294 1975 978 4.90 - 2.40 5.20 0.312 1980 2385 7.80 9.8 1.23 19.00 10.4 0.277 1985 3290 13.50 2.91 -0.20 0.290 225.6 1990 8124 3.80 7.7 1.67 4.10 3.1 724.4 1995 12918 6.38 1.79 3.70 0.317 903.1 2000 14704 5.80 6.2 2.99 1.30 2.6 0.326 1067.4 2001 13147 -1.65 4.57 -0.01 0.350 1222.1 2002 13404 5.26 5.17 0.345 1616.6 2003 13773 3.67 4.99 -0.28 0.343 2066.3 2004 15012 6.19 4.44 1.62 0.338 2417.4 2005 16051 4.70 4.13 2.30 0.340 2532.9 2006 16491 5.44 3.91 0.60 0.339 2661.5 2007 17154 5.98 1.80 2703.0 2008 17399 0.73 4.14 3.53 0.341 2917.1 2009 16359 -1.87 3.2 5.85 -0.87 0.9 3482.0 2010 18503 4.72 5.21 -0.96 0.342 3820.1 2011 20006 4.07 5.39 1.42 3855.5 2012 20386 1.32 4.24 1.93 4031.7 Source: Directorate-General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics, Statistic Abstract of National Income, Executive Yuan, Taiwan.
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Economic Development Stages
I. Before Take-off: Prior to 1965 1. Japanese Colonial Era (before 1945) 2. Taiwan’s economy before take-off 3. Reasons for success II. Take-off and golden years (Post-1965) 4. Export expansion policy, 5. Second import substitute policy, 6. High-tech industry, 1980- 7. Financial liberalization, 1990- 8. Macroeconomic performance
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Economic Development Stages
III. After Golden Years (Post-1990) 9. Open direct investment in China, 1990- 10. Jie Ji Yong Ren policy 戒急用忍, 11. Join World Trade Organization, 2002- 12. Cross-strait Direct Flight, 2008- 13. Sign ECFA with China, 2010-
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Before Takeoff Japan contributed to Taiwan’s economy
KMT brought 2 million mainlanders (human capital) to Taiwan 228 event caused tension between Taiwanese and mainlanders Martial Law and post-war economy
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Taiwan’s economy under Japanese colonial era
Infrastructure irrigation system railroad and rural road system farmers’ association and cooperation Education achievement and public health GDP Industrial structure
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Taiwan’s economy after KMT came to Taiwan
Land reform 2) U.S. Aid ( ) 3) Major Economic problems 4) Major Economic policies 5) Economic performance
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Land Reform Reduction of farm rents (1952)三七五減租
Land-to-tiller program (1953)耕者有其田
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US aids:
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Major Economic Problems in the 1950s
large government deficit high inflation rate overvalued NTD large trade deficit
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Major Economic Policy: Import Substitute (1953-1965)
1953 the first four-year plan to reduce import and to save foreign reserve industrial consumer goods: textile products and plastic materials
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The reasons of success between 1953-1965
1) Infrastructure of Japanese colonial era 2) US AID 3) Human capital from China (2 millions) 4) Successful land reform
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Take Off and Golden Years (Post-1965)
Export expansion policy, Second import substitute policy, High-tech industry, 1980- Financial liberalization, 1990- Macroeconomic performance
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Export-expansion policy : 1965-80
1965 Export Processing Zone (EPZ) labor-intensive goods i. clothes, shores, plastic toys, umbrella ii. consumer electronic products 1971 first year with trade surplus golden years
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Key Projects in 1970s: Ten Major Projects, 1974-1979
freeway, electric rail road, inte’l airport, Taichung port Fomorsa Plastic, China Steel, China Ship Building co.,
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Second import-substitute policy : 1975-80
new industries: machinery, chemical, etc technology improvement
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. High-tech industry (IT industry): 1980-
Industrial Technology Research Institute, 1973 Hsin-Chu Science Park, 1980 High-tech companies: ACER, TSMC, UNC, ASUS, BENQ, Trend Micro(PC-Cellian) Tainan Science Park, Taichung Science Park Nan-Hu Science Park
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All Patents Granted in USPTO
Country 2012 Accumulated Japan 50677 902998 Germany 13835 360194 UK 5213 146564 France 5386 134641 Taiwan 10646 104954 Korea 13233 103895 China 4637 17284
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. Financial liberalization: 1990-
interest rate liberalization (1986,1989) managed free exchange rate system (1979) free foreign exchange in and out (1987, 5 millions USD)) private banks (1991) bubble in the asset market (real estate and stock) ( )
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Economic performance high growth rate low inflation rate
low unemployment rate evenly income distribution
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Post-Golden Years Open direct investment in China, 1990-
Jie Ji Yong Ren policy 戒急用忍, Join World Trade Organization, 2002- Cross-strait Direct Flight, 2008- Sign ECFA with China, 2010-
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The Reasons for Taiwan’s FDI to mainland China
New Taiwan dollar appreciation (by 30 % from 1985 to 87) abolished martial law (1987/11) comparative advantage labor-intensive industries export-oriented industries 4.Same language and similar culture
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Taiwan’s FDI to China
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China’s FDI Source (2006) Country(area) Number Rank Amount Hong Kong
269555 1 279.7 billion Taiwan 71847 2 43.8 billion 5 USA 52211 3 53.9 billion 4 Korea 43130 34.9 billion 6 Japan 37714 57.9 billion Virgin island 16616 57.1 billion Singapore 15556 7 30.0 billion Macau 10697 8 6.9 billion 11 Canada 9788 9 5.4 billion 12 UK 5359 10 13.9 billion
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Updated figures FDI from Taiwan in 2012: 2229 cases, 2.85 billion
Accumulated FDI from Taiwan ( up to Dec. 2012):88001 cases, billion (4.5%)
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The reasons for high growth rate of bilateral trade:
1. comparative advantage: per capita GDP in 1979: Taiwan US$ 1,763 China US$265 in 2008: Taiwan US$15,313 ChinaUS$3270 in 2012: Taiwan US$20328 China US$6076 2. trade-creating effect by Taiwan’s FDI to China: raw materials and intermediate goods intra-industrial trade 3. same language and similar culture
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Bilateral Trade across the Taiwan Strait
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Trade Dependence across the Taiwan Strait
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Trade Across Taiwan Straits
Taiwan’s export to China in 2012: US$ billions Taiwan’s import from China in 2012: US$36.78 billions Total trade: US$ billions Trade surplus: US$95.4 billions
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Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA) across the Strait
The emergence of Asian economic integration: Asian Economic Integration
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