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Challenges to Aid Effectiveness: Recipient Institutions
International Development Cooperation: Theory & Practice SNU GSIS Challenges to Aid Effectiveness: Recipient Institutions
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Aid-Institution Relationship
Which comes first? One of the objectives of aid is to improve public institution Good institution is a condition for aid to work, so aid allocation should be selective Debates on the relationship between aid and institutions Pros: Aid promotes good institution/governance by Technical assistance for capacity building of recipients’ public institutions and philosophy transmission Incentives to receive more aid when/where improved governance Cons: Aid damages institutional quality by Easy access to resources Rent-seeking behaviors Encourage not to use unpopular taxation
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Curse of Aid? Curse of natural resources Causes and effects
Economies with abundant natural resources tend to have less economic growth than those with fewer natural resources. natural resources are detrimental to institutional quality, and have a negative impact on growth via their effect on institutions Causes and effects Dutch disease Natural resource discovery (or any event resulting in a large inflow of foreign currency) causes increase of the real exchange rate and wage, undermining the competitiveness of export sectors Vulnerability to external shocks Rent seeking activities/corruptions Internal conflict Less dependency on taxation and weak accountability Can be applied to foreign aid?
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Aid dependency and institutions
A large volume of aid over a long period can have negative effects on the development of good public institutions in low income countries.
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Aid dependency and institutions
Policy ownership Aid can weaken government’s economic decision- making process, e.g., budgeting and planning volatility and uncertainty (gap between commitment and disbursement) towards satisfying donors Government expenditure Aid treated as an increase in income tends to increase government spending, more toward gov’t consumption rather than public investment Quality of civil service Proliferation of agencies and projects can cause competition for staff, resulting in brain-drain in civil service Bureaucrats are often rewarded not for their development function but rather on getting money from donors
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Aid dependency and institutions
Revenue collection Taxation is a key mechanism to establish accountability between state and society/citizens. Foreign aid as a substitute for domestic revenue mobilization, gives a government less incentive to tax and improve its tax administration. It’s easier to manage donor demands than the slow and difficult task of building or improving domestic revenue collection. Weakening accountability to citizens (tax payers) and encouraging moral hazard Democracy Aid can undermine popular participation As aid is external assistance the assent of the population is less important to government Pressure is external, not from below
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Aid dependency and institutions
Negative correlation between aid and tax revenue <Moss, T., et al. (2006). “An Aid-Institutions Paradox?”>
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Some empirical studies…
Djankov, et al. (2008). "The curse of aid” Tracking aid and democracy Negative relationship between annual average of aid/GDP and the level of democracy in Africa in the world
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Some empirical studies (Djankov, et al. 2008)
Impact of aid to political institution (1)
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Some empirical studies (Djankov, et al. 2008)
Impact of aid to political institution (2) conclusions Foreign aid has a negative impact on institutions. Curse of aid seems bigger than the curse of natural resources.
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Some empirical studies
Svensson (2000). "Foreign aid and rent-seeking" Relationship between aid and the corruption and other rent-seeking activities A game-theoretic rent-seeking model: (social) groups compete over common-pool resources each group will be better off if all reduced their costly appropriation efforts unilaterally, but it is not rational for the individual social group. However, since the social groups interact repeatedly, this may provide a mechanism that can reduce the conflict of interest these forces may not suffice to deliver the first-best outcome Results An increase in government revenues may lower the provision of public goods: large disbursements of aid do not necessarily lead to increased welfare. Mere expectation of aid according to the recipients’ future needs may increase rent dissipation and reduce the expected number of periods in which efficient policies can be sustained. Negative relationship between annual average of aid/GDP and the level of democracy
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Svensson (2000) On average, foreign aid is positively associated with corruption in countries more likely to suffer from competing social groups
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Some empirical studies (Svensson 2000)
Conclusions the provision of public goods does not need to increase with government income, thus large inflows of foreign aid do not necessarily result in general welfare gains. expectations of aid in the future may suffice to increase rent dissipation and reduce the level of public goods provision. Implications Importance of the interaction between the political process shaping public policy and foreign aid. Aid may influence policy in the recipient country without any actual disbursement, implying that evaluations of project may overestimate the total impact of foreign aid. Donor community’s binding policy commitment may mitigate the incentives for social groups to engage in rent-seeking activities. Democracies seem to be less subjective to the perverse effect of aid on corruption suggests that political liberalization should have an important priority in the donors’ policy agenda.
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Q & A
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