1. NISD Long Range Planning Committee Final Recommendations to Board of Trustees
Monday, February 13, 2017

2. Northwest ISD Beliefs Kids come first
Continuous improvement is essential for future success
The success of each student is the shared responsibility of students, families, schools, and communities
Environment influences learning

3. LRPC Membership
Elizabeth Arnett Heather Bailey Kim Blackburn Mike Blankenship Scott Blattner David Carothers, Jr. Sandy Conklin Shannon Darby Darin Davis Amy Donoho Jim Dougherty Brandie Doughtie Christy Dovers Tammy Eck Dave Edstrom Rhonda Funk Russell Gage Bill Haines Taylor Harrington Tracy Henderson Jason Jacobs Todd M. Kindel Sarah Matt Ron Myers Michael Ortman Carrie Renteria Lisa Rodgers Camille Schluter Jennifer Skelton Michelle Smith Kelly Trisko Jennifer Washam Cynthia Webber Jessica Wilde Bert Wilhelm Stephanie Winquest Jamie Winters-Johnson Jamie Woodward Crystal Zschirnt

4. Committee Process Reconvened committee in October 2016
Met 8 times over the course of several months to study background information and have opportunity for dialogue and debate to develop the recommendation
LRPC MEETINGS:
Meeting 1: Tuesday, October 11, 6:00 p.m.
Meeting 2: Tuesday, October 25, 6:00 p.m.
Meeting 3: Tuesday, November 8, 6:00 p.m.
Meeting 4: Tuesday, November 15, 6:00 p.m.
Meeting 5: Tuesday, November 29, 6:00 p.m.
Meeting 6: Tuesday, December 13, 6:00 p.m.
Meeting 7: Tuesday, January 10, 6:00 p.m.
Meeting 8: Tuesday, January 17, 6:00 p.m.
Recommendations to the Board of Trustees:
Monday, January 23, 2017

5. Our Challenges Build on Educational Excellence Plan for Growth
Plan for Financial Stability

6. Information Studied Impact of the student population growth
Technology needs
Fine Arts needs
Ideal student population numbers and feeder pattern model
CTE needs
Athletics needs
Results of a community survey
Safety and security issues for our students and faculty
Financial analysis of bonding capacity and tax impact scenarios
Deficiencies in existing facilities

7. Recommendation
The NISD Long Range Planning Committee recommends the NISD Board of Trustees call a bond election for $399,000,000 to address the following: Student Population Growth Aging Conditions of Existing Facilities Safety & Security of our Students & Staff Technology Infrastructure & Devices Advancing Student Programs

8. DFW New Home Ranking Report
ISD Ranked by Annual Closings – 4Q16
Rank
District Name
Annual Starts
Annual Closings
VDL
Future 1
Frisco ISD
2,639
2,542
3,569
7,931 2
Denton ISD
1,971
2,103
2,420
17,033 3
Prosper ISD
2,569
2,050
4,675
27,142 4
Lewisville ISD
1,313
1,387
1,468
4,494 5
Northwest ISD
1,667
1,281
2,132
26,152* 6
Dallas ISD
1,574
1,223
2,233
6,029 7
Little Elm ISD
1,088
1,099
1,575
4,250 8
Eagle Mt.-Saginaw ISD
768
856
1,277
19,855 9
Rockwall ISD
984
850
1,887
8,116 10
Keller ISD
778
788
970
1,746 11
Crowley ISD
714
783
662
9,714 12
McKinney ISD
789
723
1,610
5,965 13
Mansfield ISD
763
708
898
6,612 14
Wylie ISD
798
707
1,042
4,500 15
Forney ISD
688
552
884
14,232 16
Allen ISD
570
515
1,052
1,597 17
Coppell ISD
461
483
588
329 18
Waxahachie ISD
447
477
801
9,817 19
Plano ISD
463
453
1,030
2,660 20
Midlothian ISD
553
445
1,295
19,947
Added: McElvey Ranch 1,100 lots; Project Blizzard (275 lots); CARAWAY (360 LOTS); FUTURES FOR SENDERA RANCH NORTH PER DEVELOPER INFO
Subtracted: 88 lots from Tehama Bluffs; Tour 18 (153 futures, 11 VDL, 1 A_Start, 1 A_CLose); Villages Woodland Springs/ Sugar Groves (387 lots); 1,702 lots from Tradition; 58 lots from Berkshire;
*Adjusted based on additional research by Templeton Demographics staff

9. Ten Year Forecast By Elementary Campus
Current
ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS
Campus
Capacity
2016/17
2017/18
2018/19
2019/20
2020/21
2021/22
2022/23
2023/24
2024/25
2025/26
2026/27
Beck Elementary
850
830
862
873
860
867
876
891
890
895
902
907
Clara Love Elementary
656
641
639
661
659
671
682
689
695
700
708
Cox Elementary
518
610
676
757
825
861
939
965
995
1,040
Granger Elementary
928
938
937
958
966
967
964
962
969
Haslet Elementary
650
599
649
692
736
779
840
904
961
1,015
1,061
1,097
Hatfield Elementary
450
470
505
542
581
633
795
885
977
1,065
1,161
Hughes Elementary
654
710
713
733
737
731
730
726
727
729
Justin Elementary
560
598
634
678
715
771
884
908
919
929
Lakeview Elementary
582
609
631
684
681
686
697
705
711
723
741
Nance Elementary
501
530
577
703
776
821
877
921
955
1,001
Peterson Elementary
773
827
854
871
898
899
901
Prairie View Elementary
422
413
407
433
449
469
497
525
553
579
602
Roanoke Elementary
714
831
972
975
986
990
Sendera Ranch Elementary
564
584
606
724
814
1,010
1,118
1,225
1,334
Seven Hills Elementary
573
567
549
563
569
574
593
614
621
Schluter Elementary
663
720
793
881
947
1,004
1,062
1,103
1,132
1,166
1,207
Thompson Elementary
580
623
667
829
903
944
1,013
ELEMENTARY SCHOOL TOTALS
12,050
10,500
11,009
11,533
12,217
12,763
13,407
13,975
14,518
15,010
15,459
15,961
Elementary Absolute Growth
302
509
524
685
546
644
568
492
502
Elementary Percent Growth
2.96%
4.85%
4.76%
5.94%
4.47%
5.05%
4.24%
3.88%
3.39%
2.99%
3.25%
*Green box = within 5% of capacity
*Yellow box = over capacity
Cox Elementary may enroll more than 600 students next fall
Next fall, 6 campuses will be over stated enrollment and an additional campus will be nearing campus capacity
By 2020, 13 campuses will be over stated capacity and an additional campus will be nearing campus capacity

10. Ten Year Forecast By Secondary Campus
Current
ENROLLMENT PROJECTIONS
Campus
Capacity
2016/17
2017/18
2018/19
2019/20
2020/21
2021/22
2022/23
2023/24
2024/25
2025/26
2026/27
Chisholm Trail Middle School
1,100
1,021
1,086
1,126
1,173
1,267
1,318
1,397
1,447
1,544
1,654
1,734
Gene Pike Middle School
829
917
980
1,015
1,088
1,124
1,150
1,181
1,260
1,345
1,410
Medlin Middle School
1,148
1,152
1,201
1,238
1,311
1,272
1,241
1,225
1,258
1,322
1,349
Tidwell Middle School
1,200
1,162
1,220
1,297
1,417
1,512
1,643
1,735
1,829
1,884
1,921
1,962
Wilson Middle School
975
1,046
1,113
1,140
1,222
1,274
1,382
1,480
1,587
1,693
1,801
MIDDLE SCHOOL TOTALS
5,700
5,135
5,421
5,717
5,983
6,400
6,631
6,905
7,162
7,533
7,935
8,256
Middle School Absolute Growth
337
286
296
266
417
231
274
257
371
402
321
Middle School Percent Growth
7.02%
5.57%
5.46%
4.65%
6.97%
3.61%
4.13%
3.72%
5.18%
5.34%
4.05%
Northwest High School
2,525
2,009
1,715
1,742
1,843
1,938
2,084
2,179
2,309
2,377
2,457
2,583
Byron Nelson High School
2,400
2,556
2,620
2,662
2,693
2,849
2,984
3,149
3,330
3,507
3,664
3,835
Eaton High School
2,500
1,612
2,173
2,398
2,532
2,720
2,927
3,049
3,213
3,414
3,587
3,827
Steele Accelerated High School
450
161
Denton Creek 47 32 31
HIGH SCHOOL TOTALS
7,875
6,387
6,703
6,997
7,262
7,701
8,189
8,571
9,046
9,492
9,902
10,439
High School Absolute Growth
407
316
293
265
439
488
382
475
447
409
537
High School Percent Growth
6.81%
4.95%
4.38%
3.79%
6.05%
6.33%
4.67%
5.54%
4.94%
4.31%
5.42%
DISTRICT TOTALS
25,625
22,022
23,134
24,246
25,462
26,864
28,227
29,451
30,726
32,035
33,296
34,656
District Absolute Growth
1,112
1,216
1,402
1,363
1,224
1,310
1,261
1,360
District Percent Growth
5.0%
4.8%
5.5%
5.1%
4.3%
3.9%
4.1%
*Green box = within 5% of capacity
*Yellow box = over capacity
Next fall, two middle school campuses will be over stated capacity and an additional campus will be within 5% of campus capacity
Byron Nelson High School may enroll more than 2,600 students next fall
Eaton High School may enroll more than 2,100 students next fall, and 2,500 by 2019

11. Summary DFW added 112,800 new jobs in 2016.
Roughly 25% of NISD home sales are of new homes.
Nearly 60% of existing home sales are below $250K, while only 25% of new home sales are below the same price.
NISD closed nearly 1,300 new homes in 2016.
NISD is expected to enroll more than 25,000 students by 2019.
NISD can expect an increase of approximately 6,200 students during the next 5 years.
2021/22 enrollment projection: 28,227 students.
NISD is projected to have 34,600 students for the 2026/27 school year.

12. Student Population Growth $263,991,892
New Facilities
Elementary School #19
Elementary School #20
Elementary School #21
Replacement Facilities
New Haslet Elementary School (gain capacity and replace one of the district’s oldest campuses)
Renovate the Existing Haslet Elem. School for an Admin. Annex (Over 2.3 million sf added since 2000)
Campus Expansions
Beck Elementary School Addition (permanent space for existing student enrollment)
Three Elementary School Expansions (bring capacity up to 850 model)
Medlin & Tidwell Middle School Expansions (bring capacity up to 1,200 model)
Byron Nelson & VR Eaton High School Expansions (bring capacity up to 3,200 model)
Land Acquisition for Future School Sites

13. Aging Conditions of Existing Facilities $32,268,437
Furniture Replacement (Classrooms over 20 years old)
Roof Replacement & Repair
Code Compliance Upgrades (ADA items)
Replacement of Aged Electrical, Mechanical & Plumbing Equipment
Replacement of Aged Fire Alarms
Water Intrusion & Damage Repairs (including window replacement, caulking and sealing)

14. Safety & Security of our Students & Staff $14,081,601
Entrance & Reception Area Improvements
Uniform platform at every campus with approach camera and buzzer and reception area security enhancements
Door Hardware Upgrades
Replace door hardware on classroom doors with intruder function
Access Control Improvements & Intrusion Alarms
Automated lockdown with agency notification
Security Cameras
Replacement cycle, right-sizing replacements, additional needs and storage replacement
Intercom System & Phone System Improvements
Replace obsolete intercom head-in, replace phone system for lockdown and notification capabilities as well as upgrade standards

15. Technology Infrastructure & Devices $37,396,935
Technology Infrastructure & District Backbone
Fiber and Cabling standards upgrades and replacements, Wi-Fi for 1:1, equipment closets UPS, power and AC upgrades; network operations and equipment growth, new construction fiber
Student Device Refresh
Growth and student device replacement for 22K+ students
Teacher & Staff Device Refresh
Classroom and office device replacement - includes printers, scanners, laptops, desktops
Virtual Desktop Infrastructure Growth
Addition seat capacity to help facilitate long term cost reductions for lab replacements as well as enhance student access from home

16. Advancing Student Programs $51,101,320
Career & Technical Education
Kelly Box Ag Barn Expansion & Upgrades
Technology Infrastructure Upgrades for Labs at BNHS & NHS
Computer Certification Labs at BNHS & NHS
Skills Lab for Certifications in Health Science at BNHS & NHS
AMAT Upgrade & Ag Expansion at NHS
Ag Expansion, Culinary Expansion & Engineering Lab at BNHS
Athletics
Outdoor Fieldhouse at BNHS & NHS
District Aquatic Center to serve all campuses
Fine Arts
Renovate Northwest HS Performing Arts Center
New large ensemble and practice rooms at BNHS & NHS
PAC & Black Box lighting upgrades at NHS
Middle School Fine Arts Improvements – Update stage areas & lighting, new large ensemble, practice and theater rooms, band and choir room updates

17. Total Recommended Bond Package $398,840,184
Student Population Growth
New Facilities, Replacement Facilities, Expansions & Land Acquisition
$263,991,892
Aging Conditions of Existing Facilities
Furniture, Roofing, Code Compliance, MEP, Fire Alarms & Water Intrusion
$32,268,437
Safety & Security of our Students & Staff
Secure Entrances, Door Hardware, Access Control, Security Cameras, Intercom & Phone Systems
$14,081,601
Technology Infrastructure & Devices
Infrastructure & Backbone, Student & Staff Device Refresh, Virtual Desktops
$37,396,935
Advancing Student Programs
CTE, Athletics & Fine Arts
$51,101,320

20. Committee Recommendation Recap
LRPC Recommends NISD Board of Trustees Call May Election for $399 million.

21. Important Dates
Monday, February 13, 2017 – On Agenda for Board to Call Bond (Friday, February 17 is the Deadline to Call Election for May 2017)
Voter Education Efforts: February – May 6, 2017
Deadline to Register to Vote: Thursday, April 6, 2017
Early Voting: Monday, April 24 – Tuesday, May 2, 2017
Election Day: Saturday, May 6, 2017

22. Total Recommended Bond Package $398,840,184
Student Population Growth (66%)
New Facilities, Replacement Facilities, Expansions & Land Acquisition
$263,991,892
Aging Conditions of Existing Facilities (8%)
Furniture, Roofing, Code Compliance, MEP, Fire Alarms & Water Intrusion
$32,268,437
Safety & Security of our Students & Staff (4%)
Secure Entrances, Door Hardware, Access Control, Security Cameras, Intercom & Phone Systems
$14,081,601
Technology Infrastructure & Devices (9%)
Infrastructure & Backbone, Student & Staff Device Refresh, Virtual Desktops
$35,396,935
Advancing Student Programs (13%)
CTE, Athletics & Fine Arts
$51,101,320

23. Discussion