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Modeling Issues Arising from the Threat of Emerging Diseases in Resource-Poor Countries: Pandemic Flu.

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Presentation on theme: "Modeling Issues Arising from the Threat of Emerging Diseases in Resource-Poor Countries: Pandemic Flu."— Presentation transcript:

1 Modeling Issues Arising from the Threat of Emerging Diseases in Resource-Poor Countries: Pandemic Flu

2 Detect Contain Mitigate
Problem: poor/no surveillance Solution: efficient sentinel surveillance Modeling’s Role: identifying sentinel populations, effects of reporting delays Problem: lack of infrastructure Solution: use of existing social structures, social restrictions Modeling’s Role: social modeling, resource allocation Problem: limited PH resources Solution: involve international community, optimal resource allocation Modeling’s Role: effect of resource allocation, overall effects of goals Modeling may be more important in resource poor settings since there are more times when we must prioritize one intervention over another.


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